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Please contact me by e-mail to get a
reprint of any of the following publications or some downloads are available:
Journal papers
Conference papers
Extended
abstracts and posters
Reports
Journal Papers (newest are at the bottom):
2000
-
Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G., and O’Connell, P.E. 2000.
A
stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource
systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrol. Earth Sys. Sci.,
4, 261-280.
[Abstract]
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2002
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2002.
A weather-type approach to analysing water resource
drought in the Yorkshire region from 1881 to 1998. J. Hydrol., 262,
177-192.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2002. Precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation: A
study of climatic variability in Northern England. Int. J. Climatol.,
22,
843-866.
[Abstract]
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2003
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme
rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters, 30(13), 1720,
doi:10.1029/2003GL017327. [Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G., and O’Connell, P.E. 2003.
Modeling
the impacts of climatic change and variability on the reliability, resilience
and vulnerability of a water resource system.
Water
Resources Research,
39(8),
1222, doi:10.1029/2002WR001778.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. A regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme
rainfall from 1961 to 2000. International Journal of Climatology,
23(11), 1313-1334.
[Abstract]
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2004
-
Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2004. Spatial
and temporal variations in precipitation in the Upper Indus Basin, global
teleconnections and hydrological implications. Hydrology and Earth System
Sciences, 8(1), 47-61.
[Abstract]
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2005
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Fowler, H.J.,
Ekström, M., Kilsby, C.G. and Jones, P.D. 2005. New estimates of future changes in
extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1:
Assessment of control climate. Journal of Hydrology,
300(1-4), 212-233.
[Abstract]
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Ekström, M., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby,
C.G. and Jones, P.D. 2005. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall
across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 2. Future estimates
and use in impact studies. Journal of Hydrology,
300(1-4), 234-251.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G., O’Connell, P.E., and Burton, A. 2005. A weather-type
conditioned multi-site stochastic rainfall model for the generation of
scenarios of climatic variability and change. Journal of Hydrology,
308(1-4), 50-66.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2005.
Hydro-climatological variability in the Upper Indus Basin and implications
for water resources. In: Wagener, T. et al. (Eds.) Regional Hydrological
Impacts of Climatic Change – Impact Assessment and Decision Making, IAHS
Publication 295, pp. 131-138.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J. 2005. Are extremes increasing?
Changing rainfall patterns in Yorkshire. Yorkshire and Humberside Regional
Review, 15(1), 21-24.
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Barth, J. and Fowler, H.J. 2005. AquaTerra,
a new Integrated Project in FP 6: active since June 2004. Land
Contamination and Remediation, 13(2), 201-205.
[Abstract]
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2006
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Archer, D.R. 2006. Conflicting signals of climatic change in the Upper Indus
Basin. Journal of Climate, 19(17),
4276–4293.
[Abstract]
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2007
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2007. Using regional climate model data to simulate historical and
future river flows in northwest England. Climatic Change, 80(3-4),
337-367.
[Abstract]
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Ekström, M., Jones, P.D., Fowler, H.J.,
Lenderink, G., Buishand, A. and Conway, D. 2007. Regional climate model data used
within the SWURVE project. 1: Projected changes in seasonal patterns and
estimation of PET. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,
11(3),
1069-1083.
[Abstract] Download
PDF
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Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and Stunell, J. 2007. Modelling the impacts of projected future climate
change on water resources in northwest England.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,
11(3),
1115-1126.
[Abstract] Download PDF
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Kilsby, C.G., Tellier,
S., Fowler, H.J. and Howels, T. 2007. Hydrological impacts of climate change on the Tejo and Guadiana rivers.
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,
11(3),
1175-1189.
[Abstract]
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Gerzabek, M.H.,
Barceló, D., Bellin, A., Rijnaarts, H.H.M., van Veen, J., Darmendrail, D.,
Fowler, H.J., Négrel, P., Frank, E., Grathwohl, P., Kuntz, D.,
Barth, J.A.C. 2007.
The integrated
project AquaTerra of the EU sixth framework lays foundations for better
understanding of river–sediment–soil–groundwater systems.
Journal
of Environmental Management,
84,
237–243. [Abstract]
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Kilsby, C.G., Jones, P.D., Burton, A., Ford, A.C., Fowler,
H.J., Harpham, C., James, P., Smith, A. and Wilby, R.L.
2007. A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies.
Environmental Modelling and Software, 22, 1705-1719.
[Abstract]
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Bürger, C.M., Kolditz, O.,
Fowler, H.J.
and Blenkinsop, S. 2007. Future climate scenarios and rainfall-runoff modelling in the
Upper Gallego catchment (Spain). Environmental Pollution,148(3),
842-854.
[Abstract]
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Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J.
2007. Changes
in drought frequency and severity over the British Isles projected by the
PRUDENCE regional climate models. Journal of Hydrology, 342,
50-71.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J. and Wilby, R.L. 2007. Beyond the
downscaling comparison study. International Journal of Climatology,
27(12),
1543-1545.
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Fowler, H.J.,
Blenkinsop, S. and Tebaldi, C. 2007. Linking climate change modelling to
impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological
modelling. International Journal of Climatology,
27(12),
1547-1578.
[Abstract]
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Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2007. Changes
in drought characteristics for Europe projected by the PRUDENCE regional
climate models. International Journal of Climatology, 27(12),
1595-1610.
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J.,
Ekström, M. Blenkinsop, S. and Smith, A.P. 2007. Estimating change in extreme
European precipitation using a multi-model ensemble. Journal of
Geophysical Research - Atmospheres,
112,
D18104, doi:10.1029/2007JD008619.
[Abstract]
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Barth, J.A.C., Freitag, H.,
Fowler, H.J., Smith, A.P., Karim, A., Ingle, C. and McPhail, C.
2007. Water and Carbon Balance of the Clyde Watershed (Scotland): a stable isotope
study on a European Precipitation and Vegetation Cover Extreme.
Applied Geochemistry,
22, 2684-2694.
[Abstract]
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2008
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Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Dubus,
I.G., Nolan, B.T. and Hollis, J.M. 2008. Developing climatic scenarios for
pesticide fate modelling in Europe.
Environmental Pollution,
154,
219-231.
[Abstract]
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Burton, A., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., Cowpertwait, P.S.P. and O’Connell, P.E.
2008. RainSim: A spatial temporal
stochastic rainfall modelling system. Environmental Modelling and
Software, 23, 1356-1369.
[Abstract]
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Nolan, B.T., Dubus, I.G., Surdyk, N., Fowler,
H.J., Burton, A., Hollis, J.M., Reichenberger, S. and Jarvis, N.J. 2008. Identification of key climatic factors regulating the
transport of pesticides in leaching and to tile drains. Pest Management
Science, 64, 933-944,
doi: 10.1002/ps.1587. [Abstract]
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Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2008.
Seasonal
forecasting of runoff on the River Jhelum, Pakistan, using meteorological
data.
Journal of Hydrology, 361, 10-23,
doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.07.017.
[Abstract]
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Erratum PDF
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Centofantia, T., Hollis, J.M., Blenkinsop, S.,
Fowler, H.J., Truckell, I., Dubus, I., and Reichenberger, S.
2008. Development of agro-environmental scenarios to support
pesticide risk assessment in Europe. Science of the Total Environment,
407, 574-588, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2008.08.017.
[Abstract]
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2009
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Barth, J.A.C., Grathwohl, P., Fowler, H.J.,
Bellin, A., Gerzabek, M.H., Lair, G.J., Barceló, D., Petrovic, M., Navarro,
A., Négrel, Ph., Petelet-Giraud, E., Darmendrail, D., Rijnaarts, H.,
Langenhoff, A., De Weert, J., Slob, A., van der Zaan, B.M., Gerritse, J.,
Frank, E., Gutierrez, A., Kretzschmar, R., Gocht, T., Steidle, D., Garrido,
F., Jones, K.C., Meijer, S., Moeckel, C., Marsman, A., Klaver, G., Vogel,
T., Bürger, C., Kolditz, O., Broers, H.P., Baran, N., Joziasse, J., Von
Tümpling, W., van Gaans, P., Merly, C., Chapman, A., Brouyere, S., Batlle
Aguilar, J., Orban, Ph., Tas, N., and Smidt, H. 2009. Mobility, turnover and
storage of pollutants in soils, sediments and waters: achievements and
results by the EU project AquaTerra. A review. Agronomy for Sustainable
Development, 29, 161-173, DOI: 10.1051/agro:2007060. [Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J. and Ekström, M. 2009.
Multi-model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal
precipitation extremes. International Journal of Climatology,
29(3), 385-416. [Abstract]
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Alexander, L.V., Tapper, N. Zhang, X.,
Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Lynch, A. 2009. Climate Extremes: Progress
and Future Directions. International Journal of Climatology,
29(3), 317-319.
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Manning, L., Hall, J.W., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and Tebaldi, C. 2009. Using probabilistic climate change
information from a multimodel ensemble for water resources assessment.
Water Resources Research, 45, W11411, doi:10.1029/2007WR006674.
[Abstract]
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Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H.J.,
Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. 2009. Large scale
surface – subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on
groundwater reserves. Journal of Hydrology, 373, 122–138.
[Abstract]
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Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S.,
Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A.
2009. How can large scale integrated surface - subsurface hydrological model
be used to evaluate long term climate change impact on groundwater reserves.
Calibration and reliability in groundwater modeling: managing groundwater
and the environment (ed. Wang, Y.X.), p137-140.
2010
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Fowler, H.J. and Wilby, R.L. 2010.
Detecting changes in seasonal precipitation extremes using regional climate
model projections: Implications for managing fluvial flood risk. Water Resources Research,
46, W03525, doi:10.1029/2008WR007636.
[Abstract]
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Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S.,
and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Downscaling transient climate change using a Neyman-Scott
Rectangular Pulses stochastic rainfall model. Journal of Hydrology,
381 (1-2), 18-32, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.10.031
[Abstract]
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Fowler, H.J, Cooley, D,
Sain, S.R and Thurston, M. 2010. Detecting change in UK extreme
precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC
Climate Change Experiment. Extremes, 13(2), 241-267,
doi:10.1007/s10687-010-0101-y
[Abstract]
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Archer, D.R., Forsythe, N.,
Fowler, H.J., and Shah, S.M. 2010. Sustainability of water resources
management in the Indus Basin under changing climatic and socio economic
conditions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14,
1669–1680, doi:10.5194/hess-14-1669-2010.
[Abstract]
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Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby,
C.G. and O’Connell, P.E. 2010. A stochastic model for the spatial-temporal
simulation of non-homogeneous rainfall occurrence and amounts. Water Resources
Research,
46, W11501,
doi:10.1029/2009WR008884.[Abstract]
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Birkinshaw, S.J., O’Donnell, G.M.,
Moore, P., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., and Berry, P.A.M. 2010. Using
Satellite Altimetry Data to Augment Flow Estimation Techniques on the Mekong
River. Hydrological Processes,
24,
3811-3825,
DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7811.
[Abstract]
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2011
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Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S.,
Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Orban, P., Dassargues, A.
2011. Modelling climate change impacts on groundwater resources using
transient stochastic climatic scenarios. Water Resources Research,
47, W12516, DOI: 10.1029/2010WR010082. [Abstract]
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Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S.,
Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A.
2011. How can large scale integrated surface - subsurface hydrological model
be used to evaluate long term climate change impact on groundwater reserves.
Managing Groundwater and the Environment (Proc. of ModelCARE 2009, Wuhan,
China, September 2009). IAHS Publ. 341, p115-120.
[Abstract]
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Viviroli, D., D.R. Archer, W.
Buytaert, H.J. Fowler, G.B. Greenwood, A.F. Hamlet, Y. Huang, G.
Koboltschnig, M.I. Litaor, J.I. López-Moreno, S. Lorentz, B. Schädler, H.
Schreier, K. Schwaiger, M. Vuille and R. Woods. 2011. Climate change and
mountain water resources: overview and recommendations for research,
management and policy. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(2),
471-504.
[Abstract]
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Supplement
2012
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Blenkinsop, S., Zhao, Y., Quinn,
J., Berryman, F., Thornes, J., Baker, C. and Fowler, H.J. 2012.
Downscaling future wind hazard for SE London using the UKCP09 regional
climate model ensemble. Climate Research, 53, 141-156, doi:
10.3354/cr01091.
[Abstract]
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Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and Archer, D.R. 2012. Opportunities from remote sensing for
supporting water resources management in village/valley scale catchments in
the Upper Indus Basin. Water Resources Management, 26(4),
845-871, DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9933-8.
[Abstract]
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Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2012. Assessment of runoff sensitivity in
the Upper Indus Basin to interannual climate variability and potential
change using MODIS satellite data products. Mountain Research and
Development, 32(1), 16-29, DOI:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-11-00027.1
[Abstract]
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Visser, A., Kroes, J., van Vliet,
M.T.H., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J. and Broers, H.P. 2012.
Climate change impacts
on the leaching of a heavy metal contamination in a small lowland catchment.
Journal of Contaminant
Hydrology 127, 47-64, DOI: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2011.04.007.
[Abstract]
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Majone, B., Bovolo, C.I., Bellin,
A., Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2012. Modeling the impacts of
future climate change on water resources for the Gallego river basin
(Spain). Water Resources Research, 48, W01512,
doi:10.1029/2011WR010985.
[Abstract]
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van Vliet, M.T.H., Blenkinsop,
S., Burton, A., Harpham, C., Broers, H.P. and Fowler, H.J. 2012. A
multi-model ensemble of downscaled spatial climate change scenarios for the
Dommel catchment, Western Europe. Climatic Change 111(2),
249-277, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0131-8.
[Abstract]
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Coulthard, T.J., Ramirez, J.,
Fowler, H.J. and Glenis, V. 2012. Using the UKCP09 probabilistic
scenarios to model the amplified impact of climate change on drainage basin
sediment yield. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16(11),
4401-4416, doi:10.5194/hess-16-4401-2012.
[Abstract]
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2013
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Ekström, M., Kuruppu, N., Wilby,
R., Fowler, H.J., Chiew, F., Dessai, S. and Young, B. 2013.
Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework –
Applications in the water sector. Global Environmental Change,
23(1), 115–129.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.003.
[Abstract]
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Jones, M.R., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G., and Blenkinsop, S. An assessment of changes in seasonal and
annual extreme rainfall in the UK between 1961 and 2009. 2012.
International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3503.
[Abstract]
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In Press
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Chan, S.C., Kendon, E.J.,
Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Ferro, C.A.T. and Stephenson, D.B. Does
increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the
simulated daily precipitation?
Climate Dynamics, in press, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1568-9.
[Abstract]
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Sharif, M., Archer, D.R.,
Fowler, H.J. and Forsythe, N.D. Trends in magnitude and timing of
flow in the Upper Indus Basin. Hydrology and Earth System
Sciences, in press.
Submitted
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Hardy, A., Forsythe, N.D.,
Holderness, T. and Fowler, H.J. Development of a Snow Covered Area (SCA)
product for the Western Himalaya using AVHRR imagery. Remote Sensing of
Environment, in revision.
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Blenkinsop, S., Harpham,
C., Burton, A., Goderniaux, P., Brouyère, S. and Fowler, H.J.
Downscaling transient climate change with a stochastic weather generator for
the Geer catchment, Belgium. Climate
Research, in revision.
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Jones, M., Blenkinsop, S.,
Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. Objective classification of extreme
rainfall regions for the UK and updated estimates of trends in regional
extreme rainfall. International
Journal of Climatology, in revision.
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Jones, M., Blenkinsop,
S., Fowler, H.J., Stephenson, D.B., Kilsby, C.G. Multimodal
seasonality in regional extreme daily rainfall. Submitted to
Environmental Research Letters, Dec 2012.
In
Preparation
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Burton, A. and Fowler, H.J.
Plausible future climate rainfall scenarios for vulnerability studies of
hydrological systems. In preparation.
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Hegerl, G., Black, E., Polson, D., Allan, R.,
Arkin, P., Sarojshini, B.B., Becker, A., Blyth, E., Chadwick, R., Dai, A.,
Durack, P., Easterling, D., Fowler, H.J., Good, L., Huffman, G.,
Ingram, W., Liu, C., Marsh, R., New, M., Skliris, N., Stott, P., Trenberth,
K., Vidale, P.L., Wijffels, S., Wilcox, L., Willett, K., Zhang, X.
Quantifying changes in the water cycle. In preparation for Bulletin of
the American Met. Soc.
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Mearns, L.O., Forest, C.E., Fowler, H.J.,
Lempert, R. The Value of Research and
Training in Integrated Uncertainty Analysis in Climate Change Research and
Applications. In preparation for Bulletin of the American Met. Soc.
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Walsh, C.L., S. Blenkinsop, A.
Burton, H.J. Fowler, V. Glenis, C.G. Kilsby, L.J. Manning, Use of
probabilistic climate scenarios to assess water resources in the Thames
catchment. In preparation for Water Resources Research.
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Chen, A.S., Djordjević, S.,
Burton, A., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. Flood
modelling and hazard assessment of extreme pluvial events in large urban
areas. In preparation for Water Management, Proceedings of the ICE.
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Blenkinsop, S., Forlin, L., Rigon,
R., Fowler, H.J., Cordano, E., and Endrizzi, S. Investigating the
impacts of climate change on hydrologic variability in the Brenta catchment
using a multi-model approach. In preparation.
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Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C.
and Blenkinsop, S. Generating probabilistic estimates of climate change
impacts on a hydrological system using a multi-model ensemble. In
preparation for Journal of Hydrometeorology.
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Jones, M., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Vitolo, R., Stephenson, D.B., Kilsby, C.G. A model to
characterise seasonally driven extreme rainfall in the UK. In preparation
for Journal of Climate.
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Jones, M., Fowler, H.J.,
Blenkinsop, S., Kilsby, C.G. Improving extreme rainfall projections and
exploring their impacts. In preparation for Nature Climate Change.
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Jones, M., Fowler, H.J.,
Blenkinsop, S., Kilsby, C.G. Identifying multi-dimensional hazards from
climate extremes. In preparation for Proc. ICE – Civil Engineering.
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Ledingham, J., Kilsby, C.G. and
Fowler, H.J. How often does an extreme rainfall event generate an
extreme flow? Seasonality and the links between rain storm and flow events
in the UK. In preparation.
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Forsythe, N.D., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G., Archer, D. Insights from ERA Interim on continuing
asymmetrical temperature change in the Upper Indus. In preparation for
Journal of Climate.
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Forsythe, N.D., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. A high-resolution cloud climatology of the Upper Indus Basin
from MODIS (Terra). In preparation for Journal of Climate.
Book
Chapters:
-
Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Supplement to: Brown S, Boorman P, McDonald R, Murphy J,
2009. Interpretation for use of surface wind speed projections from the
11-member Met Office Regional Climate Model ensemble. UKCP Technical
Note.
-
Fowler, H.J., Gutierrez,
A., Marani, M., Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Stollsteiner, P., Brouyère, S.,
Goderniaux, P., van Vliet, M., Zanetti, S., Girard, J.F., Dautrebande, S.,
Baes, D., Mouvet, C., Baran, N., Baltassat, J.M., Bovolo, C.I., Bellin, A.,
Majone, B., Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., Boni, M., Jouin, F., Klinka, T.,
Janniche, G.S., Albrechtsen, H.J., Wuilleumier, A., Gigleux, S., and Banton,
O. 2010. HYDRO - Climate and water cycle at the basin scale. In: Advanced
Tools and Models to Improve River Basin Management in Europe in the Context
of Climate Change – AquaTerra. (eds.) M. Finkel, J. Barth, P. Grathwohl,
ISBN: 9781843393726, IWA Publishing, London UK, p3-12.
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Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., Majone,
B., Bellin, A., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. Hydrological
Impacts of Climate Change on the Ebro River Basin. In: The Ebro River
Basin, The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry (eds.) Damià Barceló and
Mira Petrovic, Springer DE, to appear.
-
Bovolo C.I., Blenkinsop S.,
Majone B., Zambrano-Bigiarini M., Fowler H.J., Bellin A., Burton A.,
Barceló D., Grathwohl P. and Barth J.A.C. Chapter 14 Climate Change, Water
Resources and Pollution in the Ebro Basin – Towards an integrated approach.
In: The Ebro River Basin, The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry
(eds.) Damià Barceló and Mira Petrovic, Springer DE, to appear.
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Wilby, R.L. and Fowler, H.J. Chapter 4.2.
Detecting changes in winter precipitation extremes and fluvial flood risk.
In: Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management (eds) K. Beven
and J.W. Hall, to appear in 2011.
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Wilby, R.L. and Fowler, H.J.
2010. Regional climate downscaling. Chapter 3 in Modelling the Impact
of Climate Change, 1st Edition (eds) F. Fai, A. Lopez and M. New,
Blackwell Publishing Ltd, p34-85.
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Barth, J.A.C., Grathwohl, P., Fowler, H.J.,
Bellin, A., Gerzabek, M.H., Lair, G.J., Barceló, D., Petrovic, M., Navarro,
A., Négrel, Ph., Petelet-Giraud, E., Darmendrail, D., Rijnaarts, H.,
Langenhoff, A., De Weert, J., Slob, A., Frank, E., Gutierrez, A.,
Kretzschmar, R., Gocht, T., Steidle, D., Garrido, F., Jones, K.C., Meijer,
S., Moeckel, C., Marsman, A., Klaver, G., Vogel, T., Bürger, C., Kolditz,
O., Broers, H.P., Baran, N., Joziasseg, J., Von Tümpling, W., van Gaans, P.,
Merly, C., Chapman, A., Brouyere, S., Batlle Aguilar, J., Orban, Ph.
2009. Mobility, turnover and storage of pollutants in soils, sediments and waters:
achievements and results by the EU project AquaTerra. A review. Chapter
in: Sustainable Agriculture, Volume 1 (eds) E. Lichtfouse, M. Navarrete, P.
Debaeke, V. Souchère, and C. Alberola, Springer, p857-871. ISBN:
9048126657, 9789048126651.
-
White, S., Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop,
S. 2007. Water Resources. Chapter 1 in: Royal Society of Chemistry
report: Chemical Science Priorities for Sustainable Water, 19pp.
Conference
Papers:
-
Wilkinson, S.M., Fowler,
H.J., Blenkinsop, S. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Challenges for the
Assessment of Future Design Wind. 9th UK Conference on Wind Engineering,
Bristol University, 20th - 22nd September 2010.
-
Burton, A., Glenis, V., Bovolo,
C.I., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., Chen, A.S., and
Djordjević, S. 2010. Stochastic rainfall modelling for the assessment of
urban flood hazard in a changing climate. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in
Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third
International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.
-
Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2010. Assessing climate pressures on
glacier-melt and snowmelt-derived runoff in the Hindu Kush-Karakoram sector
of the Upper Indus Basin. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing
Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third
International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.
-
Fowler, H.J., Wilby,
R.L., Cooley, D., Sain, S.R. and Thurston, M. 2010. Detecting changes in UK
precipitation extremes using climate model projections: Implications for
managing fluvial flood risk. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing
Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third
International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.
-
Blenkinsop, S., Hallett,
S., Truckell, I. and Fowler, H.J. 2010. The CREW project: Towards a
toolkit for the use of probabilistic climate change projections. In: BHS
2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global
Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle,
19th-23rd July 2010.
-
Jones, M., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. An updated regional frequency analysis
of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961-2009. In: BHS 2010: Role of
Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc.
BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.
-
Chen, A.S., Djordjević, S.,
Fowler, H.J., Burton, A., Walsh, C., Harvey, H., Hall, J., Dawson, R.
and Wood, G. 2009. Pluvial flood modelling of the South East London
Resilience Zone in the Community Resilience to Extreme Weather (CREW)
Project. FCRM09 Conference, 30th June - 2nd July, Telford.
-
Fowler, H.J., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop,
S., Burton, A., Bürger, C.M., Bellin, A., Bigiarini, M.Z., Majone, B.,
Alberici, D., Barceló, D., Grathwohl, P., and Barth J. 2008. Climate
investigations on a river basin scale and prediction of pollutants: a
success story from the Ebro basin. In Proceedings of Water scarcity and
management under Mediterranean climate, Girona, Spain, 24-25th November,
2008, 45-53.
-
Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Blenkinsop,
S. 2008. Probabilistic estimates of climate change impacts on flows in the
River Eden, Cumbria. Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society 10th
National Hydrology Symposium, Exeter, 15-17th September 2008.
-
Reaney, S.M. and Fowler, H.J. 2008.
Uncertainty estimation of climate change impacts on river flow incorporating
stochastic downscaling and hydrological model parameterisation error
sources. Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society 10th National
Hydrology Symposium, Exeter, 15-17th September 2008.
-
Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Smith, A.P.,
Ekstrom, M. and Kilsby, C.G. Can Regional Climate Models reproduce the
historic magnitude and frequency of severe UK extreme rainfall events, and
how will this change under global warming? Proceedings of the British
Hydrological Society 9th National Hydrology Symposium, Durham, 11-13th
September 2006, pp. 45-52.
-
Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2005.
Seasonal forecasting of runoff on the Upper Indus using empirical relations
with meteorological data. Symposium on the Contribution from Glaciers and
Snow Cover to Runoff from Mountains in Different Climates (ICSI), VIIth IAHS
Scientific Assembly, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 3-9 April 2005.
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Archer, D.R. 2005.
Hydro-climatological variability in the Upper Indus Basin and implications
for water resources.
Regional Hydrologic Impacts of Climatic Variability and
Change with an Emphasis on Less Developed Countries,
VIIth IAHS Scientific
Assembly, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 3-9 April 2005.
-
Archer, D.R. and Fowler,
H.J. 2004. Exploratory analysis of ground-based data to assess climate
runoff links in the Upper Indus Basin. International Conference on
Hydrology of Mountain Environments, Berchtesgaden, Federal Republic of
Germany, 27 Sep-1 Oct 2004.
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2004. Future increases in UK water resource drought projected
by a regional climate model. Proceedings of the
BHS International Conference on Hydrology: Science & Practice
for the 21st Century,
Volume 1,
London, 12-16 July 2004, p15-21.
-
Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and O’Connell, P.E. 2002. Modelling the impact of climate change
on the reliability of the Yorkshire water supply network. Proceedings of
the BHS 8th National Hydrology Symposium, University of
Birmingham, 8-11th September, 2002, 83-90.
-
Kilsby, C.G. and
Fowler, H.J. 2002. Changing UK extreme
rainfall and implications for design. Proceedings of the
BHS 8th National Hydrology Symposium,
University of Birmingham, 8-11th September, 2002, 113-120.
-
Fowler, H.J.,
and Kilsby, C.G. 2000.
Linking Precipitation Measurements to Large-Scale Atmospheric
Circulation: Implications for Water Resources Management and Planning in
Yorkshire, UK.
AGU Chapman Conference on the North Atlantic Oscillation,
Vigo, Spain, 28th November – 1st December 2000.
-
Fowler, H.J.
1997. Numerical modelling of the downstream propagation of organic matter.
CIWEM East Anglia Branch Young Writer’s competition, Cambridge,
February 1997.
Extended Abstracts and Posters:
-
Fowler, H.J., Forsythe,
N., Archer, D.R. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. A vertical hydroclimatology of the
Upper Indus Basin and the potential for hydrological change. Global
Change and the World's Mountains, Perth, UK, September 2010.
-
Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J.,
Archer, D.R. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Investigation of means to meet
information needs for local decision makers for water resources management
in the Upper Indus Basin. Global Change and the World's Mountains,
Perth, UK, September 2010.
-
Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J.,
Archer, D.R. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Avenues for improved assessment of
accumulated snowpack in the Upper Indus Basin for use in operational
forecasting. Global Change and the World's Mountains, Perth, UK,
September 2010.
-
Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and Archer, D.R. 2010. Adaptation of a pattern-scaling approach
for assessment of local (village/valley) scale water resources and related
vulnerabilities in the Upper Indus Basin. BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in
Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third
International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010. Poster
Presentation.
-
Jones, M., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. Changes in the annual largest
daily rainfall totals. BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing
Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International
Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010. Poster Presentation.
-
Jones, M., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. Changes in the annual largest
daily rainfall totals. 11th International Meeting on Statistical
Climatology, University of Edinburgh, Scotland, July 12-16, 2010. Poster
Presentation.
-
Fowler, H.J, Cooley, D,
Sain, S.R and Thurston, M. 2010. Detecting change in UK extreme
precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC Climate
Change Experiment. 11th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology,
University of Edinburgh, Scotland, July 12-16, 2010.
-
Goderniaux, P., Brouyère, S.,
Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Fowler, H.J. and Dassargues, A. 2010.
Uncertainty of simulated groundwater levels arising from stochastic
transient climate change scenarios. European Geosciences Union General
Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.
-
Jones, M., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. Robust detection of changes in
extreme rainfall? European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May
2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria. Poster Presentation.
-
Ledingham, J., Kilsby, C.G. and
Fowler, H.J. 2010. Mapping from Rainfall Frequency to Flood
Frequency: an alternative method for climate impact assessment. European
Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.
-
Burton, A., Blenkinsop, S.,
Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Transient climate rainfall
downscaling using a combined dynamic-stochastic methodology. European
Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.
-
Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., Bellin,
A., Majone, B., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J. 2010.
Evaluating the impact of hydrological uncertainty in assessing the impact of
climate change on water resources of the Ebro River Basin (Spain).
European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna,
Austria.
-
Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2010. Adaptation of a pattern-scaling
approach for assessment of local (village/valley) scale water resources and
related vulnerabilities in the Upper Indus Basin. European Geosciences
Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria. Poster
Presentation.
-
Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G.,
Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2010. A vertical hydroclimatology of the
Upper Indus Basin and initial insights to potential hydrological change in
the region. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7
2010, Vienna, Austria. Poster Presentation.
-
Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A.,
Fowler, H.J., Harpham, C., and Goderniaux, P. 2009. Downscaling
Transient Climate Change Scenarios for Water Resource Management.
European Geosciences Union General Assembly, April 19-24 2009, Vienna,
Austria.
-
Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J.,
Burton, A., Bovolo, C.I., van Vliet, M., and Goderniaux, P. 2009.
State-of-the-art climate change scenarios in AquaTerra. AquaTerra Final
Conference, 25-27 March 2009, Tübingen, Germany.
-
Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A.,
Fowler, H.J., Harpham, C., and Kilsby, C.G., 2009. Producing Transient
Climate Change Scenarios for AQUATERRA Catchments. AquaTerra Final
Conference, 25-27 March 2009, Tübingen, Germany. Poster Presentation
-
Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H.J.,
Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. Large scale surface
– subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on
groundwater reserves. 2009 Ground Water Summit—The Science and
Engineering Conference: Adapting to Increasing Demands in a Changing Climate,
Tucson, Arizona, US, April 19-23, 2009.
-
Fowler, H.J., S.R. Sain, M. Allen, A.
Lopez. Quantifying the change in extreme seasonal precipitation events under
global warming using a grand ensemble experiment. AGU Fall Meeting 2007,
Session GC43A: Exploiting the Repositories of Multiple-Model Simulations of
Climate Change, San Francisco, US, 10-14th December 2007.
-
Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C., Allen M. and Christensen,
C. 2007. Quantifying the change in extreme seasonal precipitation
events under global warming using a grand ensemble experiment. Session
MS015: Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Past Occurrences and Future
Likelihoods, IUGG XXIV Assembly, Perugia, Italy, July 2-13th 2007.
-
Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Blenkinsop,
S. 2007. Generating probabilistic estimates of climate change impacts on a
hydrological system. Session
MS016 - Downscaling to Local and Regional Scales (ICCL), IUGG XXIV Assembly, Perugia, Italy,
July 2-13th 2007.
-
Ekström, M., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S.
and Smith, A.P. 2007. Using probabilistic representation of RCM rainfall to
quantify uncertainty in future UK regional rainfall. Session MS015:
Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Past Occurrences and Future Likelihoods,
IUGG XXIV Assembly, Perugia, Italy, July 2-13th 2007.
-
Fowler, H.J., Ekström, M., Blenkinsop, S.
and Smith, A. 2007. Probabilistic projections of change in UK extreme
rainfall using the PRUDENCE regional climate models. Geophysical Research
Abstracts, EGU 2007.
-
Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C., Blenkinsop, S.
and Smith, A. 2007. Linking probabilistic climate scenarios with downscaling
methods for impact studies. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2007.
-
Fowler, H.J. 2006. Modelling the
past and future magnitudes and frequency of severe European rainfall events.
Global Environmental Change: Regional Challenges, Beijing, China,
9-12th November 2006.
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Archer, D.R. 2006. Impacts of global warming on the climate and
hydrology of the Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan. Global Environmental
Change: Regional Challenges, Beijing, China, 9-12th November 2006.
-
Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C., Blenkinsop, S.
and Smith, A.P. 2006. Linking probabilistic climate scenarios with
downscaling methods for impact studies. British Hydrological Society 9th
National Hydrology Symposium, Durham, 11-13th September 2006.
-
Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2006.
Examining changes in drought frequency and severity in the British Isles
estimated by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. British Hydrological
Society 9th National Hydrology Symposium, Durham, 11-13th September
2006.
-
Dubus, I., Azimonti, G., Bach, M., Barriuso, E.
Bidoglio, G., Bouraoui, F., Fialkiewicz, W., Fowler, H.J., François,
O., Højberg, A., Hollis, J., Jarvis, N., Kajewski, I., Kjær, J., Lewis, K.,
Lobnik, F., Lolos, P., Réal, B., Reichenberger, S., Stenemo, F., Suhadolc,
M. and Vavoulidou–Theodorou, E. 2006. FOOTPRINT: Developing functional tools
for pesticide risk assessment and management at various scales in Europe.
SETAC Europe 16th Annual Meeting, The Hague, The Netherlands, 7-11th May
2006.
-
Barth, J.A.C., von Tümpling, W., Lobe, I.,
Mouvet, C., Albrechtsen, H-J., Tauler, R., Slobodnick, J., Steidle, D.,
Kuntz, D., Bürger, C., Beinhorn, M., Fowler, H.J., Kolditz, O.,
Grathwohl, P. 2006 AquaTerra: Monitoring Activities in selected River
Basins. SWIFT-WFD Workshop, Barcelona, 15-16th May, 2006.
-
Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Smith, A.P.,
Ekström, M., and Kilsby, C.G. 2006. Changes in UK extreme rainfall projected
by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. Geophysical Research Abstracts,
EGU 2006.
-
Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2006.
Impacts of global warming on the hydrology of the Upper Indus Basin,
Pakistan. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2006.
-
Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2006.
Regional Climate Model (RCM) performance for European catchments and future
changes in drought. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2006.
-
Dubus, I., Azimonti, G., Bach, M., Barriuso, E.
Bidoglio, G., Bouraoui, F., Fialkiewicz, W., Fowler, H.J., François,
O., Højberg, A., Hollis, J., Jarvis, N., Kajewski, I., Kjær, J., Lewis, K.,
Lobnik, F., Lolos, P., Réal, B., Reichenberger, S., Stenemo, F., Suhadolc,
M. and Vavoulidou–Theodorou, E. 2006. Developing functional tools for
pesticide risk assessment and management at various scales in Europe: the EU
project FOOTPRINT. Pesticide Behaviour in Soils, Water and Air,
Warwick, UK, 27-29th March 2006.
-
Fowler, H.J.
2005. Changing rainfall
patterns and implications for flood risk in the UK: dramatic increase in
climatic variability or the first indications of climate change? Workshop
on Climate Change: A multi-dimensional challenge, Lund, Sweden, 26th-28th
October 2005.
-
Fowler, H.J., Burton, A., Blenkinsop, S.,
Kilsby, C.G., Rigon, R., Zardi, D. and Marani, M. 2005. Downscaling climate
change scenarios to represent climatic variability at the catchment scale.
AquaTerra Special Session at ConSoil 2005, Bordeaux, France, 28th September
2005.
-
Burton, A., Moaven-Hashemi , A., Kilsby, C.G.
and Fowler, H.J. 2005. Simulating monthly and inter-annual
precipitation variability with a Neyman Scott space-time rainfall generator.
Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 7, 08788, EGU 2005.
-
Fowler, H.J. 2005. Climate change impacts
modelling and hydrological extremes. BHS: The Next 21 years, Lancaster
University, 2nd March, 2005.
-
Fowler, H.J.
2004.
Changes in UK extreme rainfall, observed change and
projections of regional climate models: implications for flood risk. 3rd
International NCCR Climate Summer School, Climate Variability: From
Observation to Prediction, Centro Stefano Franscini, Monte Verità,
Ticino, Switzerland, 29 August - 3 September 2004.
-
Fowler, H.J.,
Kilsby, C.G. and Stunell, J. 2004. Impacts of future climate change on upland
hydrology and water resources in the North West Integrated Resource Zone
BHS Pennines Hydrological Group meeting on
Upland Hydrology,
Salford University, 3rd June, 2004.
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. Seasonal changes in UK
extreme rainfall. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 5, 2003,
EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11th April, 2003.
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. Changes in UK extreme rainfall projected by regional
climate models and implications for flood risk.
Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 5, 2003,
EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11th
April, 2003.
-
Fowler, H.J.
and Kilsby, C.G. 2002. Changing magnitude and
frequency of extreme rainfall events in the UK from 1961 to 2000. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 4, 2002, EGS 27th General
Assembly, Nice, France, 21-26th April.
-
Fowler, H.J.
2000. Development of
a stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional
water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Proceedings of
the British Hydrological Society Seventh National Hydrology Symposium,
University of Newcastle upon Tyne, 4-6 September 2000.
-
Fowler, H.J.,
and Kilsby, C.G. 2000.
Observed
climate change in Yorkshire, UK: linking precipitation measurements to
large-scale atmospheric circulation. The 10th British
Hydrological Society Postgraduate Symposium, University of Newcastle upon
Tyne, 4-5 September 2000.
-
Fowler, H.J.
2000. Development of
a stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional
water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrology in
Scotland 2000, Dundee University, 22-23rd March, 2000.
-
Fowler, H.J.
1999. Precipitation in Yorkshire, UK, linked to weather type analysis. The
9th British Hydrological Society Postgraduate Symposium,
Bristol, March 1999.
-
Fowler, H.J.
1999. Climate change and water resources in Yorkshire, UK. Pennine
Hydrological Group, Climate change and water resources, Huddersfield,
February 1999.
-
Fowler, H.J.
1998. Generating Synthetic Daily Flow Sequences for Rivers in Yorkshire using
Stochastic Rainfall Models. Tyne and Humber
Branch of CIWEM, Newcastle upon Tyne, November 1998.
Theses and Reports:
-
Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., Walsh, C.,
Murray, M.G., Tellier, S., Moaven-Hashemi, A., Burton, A., Howels, T.R.,
and O’Donnell, G.M. 2004. SWURVE Contractor’s Final Report, July
2004, 105pp.
-
O’Connell, P.E., Beven, K.J., Carney, J.N.,
Clements, R.O., Ewen, J., Fowler, H.J., Harris, G.L., Hollis, J.,
Morris, J., O’Donnell, G.M., Packman, J.C., Parkin, A., Quinn, P.F., and Rose,
S.C. 2004. Review of impacts of rural land use and management on flood
generation. Part A: Impact study report. Defra/Environment Agency Flood and
Coastal Defence R&D Programme, R&D Technical Report FD2114, 114 pp.
-
Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., Walsh, C.,
Murray, M.G., O’Donnell, G.M. and Howels, T.R. 2002. SWURVE Annual Report,
43pp.
-
O’Connell, P.E., Kilsby, C.G. and Fowler, H.J.
2002. Indicators for Extreme Events (Floods and Droughts). Preliminary
Report to UNESCO for the World Water Development Report, January 2002.
32pp.
-
Fowler, H.J.
2000. The impacts of climatic change and variability
on water resources in Yorkshire. Unpublished Ph.D.
thesis, University of Newcastle upon Tyne. 368pp.
-
Fowler, H.J.
1997. Generating synthetic daily flow sequences for
rivers in Yorkshire using stochastic rainfall models.
Unpublished MSc. Thesis, University of Newcastle upon Tyne.
178pp.
-
Fowler, H.J.
1996. Numerical modelling of the downstream propagation of organic matter.
Unpublished BA thesis, Cambridge University.146pp.
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