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Publications

Please contact me by e-mail to get a reprint of any of the following publications or some downloads are available:

 

Journal papers

Conference papers

Extended abstracts and posters

Reports

Journal Papers (newest are at the bottom):

2000

  1. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., and O’Connell, P.E. 2000. A stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrol. Earth Sys. Sci., 4, 261-280. [Abstract] Download PDF

2002

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2002. A weather-type approach to analysing water resource drought in the Yorkshire region from 1881 to 1998. J. Hydrol., 262, 177-192. [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2002. Precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation: A study of climatic variability in Northern England. Int. J. Climatol., 22, 843-866. [Abstract] Download PDF

2003

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. Implications of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters, 30(13), 1720, doi:10.1029/2003GL017327. [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., and O’Connell, P.E. 2003. Modeling the impacts of climatic change and variability on the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of a water resource system. Water Resources Research, 39(8), 1222, doi:10.1029/2002WR001778. [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. A regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961 to 2000. International Journal of Climatology, 23(11), 1313-1334. [Abstract] Download PDF

2004

  1. Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2004. Spatial and temporal variations in precipitation in the Upper Indus Basin, global teleconnections and hydrological implications. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 8(1), 47-61. [Abstract] Download PDF

2005

  1. Fowler, H.J., Ekström, M., Kilsby, C.G. and Jones, P.D. 2005. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 1: Assessment of control climate. Journal of Hydrology, 300(1-4), 212-233. [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Ekström, M., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Jones, P.D. 2005. New estimates of future changes in extreme rainfall across the UK using regional climate model integrations. 2. Future estimates and use in impact studies. Journal of Hydrology, 300(1-4), 234-251. [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., O’Connell, P.E., and Burton, A. 2005. A weather-type conditioned multi-site stochastic rainfall model for the generation of scenarios of climatic variability and change. Journal of Hydrology, 308(1-4), 50-66. [Abstract] Download PDF

  4. Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2005. Hydro-climatological variability in the Upper Indus Basin and implications for water resources. In: Wagener, T. et al. (Eds.) Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change – Impact Assessment and Decision Making, IAHS Publication 295, pp. 131-138. [Abstract] Download PDF

  5. Fowler, H.J. 2005. Are extremes increasing? Changing rainfall patterns in Yorkshire. Yorkshire and Humberside Regional Review, 15(1), 21-24. Download PDF

  6. Barth, J. and Fowler, H.J. 2005. AquaTerra, a new Integrated Project in FP 6: active since June 2004. Land Contamination and Remediation, 13(2), 201-205. [Abstract] Download PDF

2006

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2006. Conflicting signals of climatic change in the Upper Indus Basin. Journal of Climate, 19(17), 4276–4293. [Abstract] Download PDF

2007

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2007. Using regional climate model data to simulate historical and future river flows in northwest England. Climatic Change, 80(3-4), 337-367. [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Ekström, M., Jones, P.D., Fowler, H.J., Lenderink, G., Buishand, A. and Conway, D. 2007. Regional climate model data used within the SWURVE project. 1: Projected changes in seasonal patterns and estimation of PET. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 11(3), 1069-1083. [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Stunell, J. 2007. Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in northwest England. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 11(3), 1115-1126. [Abstract] Download PDF

  4. Kilsby, C.G., Tellier, S., Fowler, H.J. and Howels, T. 2007. Hydrological impacts of climate change on the Tejo and Guadiana rivers. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 11(3), 1175-1189. [Abstract] Download PDF

  5. Gerzabek, M.H., Barceló, D., Bellin, A., Rijnaarts, H.H.M., van Veen, J., Darmendrail, D., Fowler, H.J., Négrel, P., Frank, E., Grathwohl, P., Kuntz, D., Barth, J.A.C. 2007. The integrated project AquaTerra of the EU sixth framework lays foundations for better understanding of river–sediment–soil–groundwater systems. Journal of Environmental Management, 84, 237–243. [Abstract] Download PDF

  6. Kilsby, C.G., Jones, P.D., Burton, A., Ford, A.C., Fowler, H.J., Harpham, C., James, P., Smith, A. and Wilby, R.L. 2007. A daily weather generator for use in climate change studies. Environmental Modelling and Software, 22, 1705-1719. [Abstract] Download PDF

  7. Bürger, C.M., Kolditz, O., Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2007. Future climate scenarios and rainfall-runoff modelling in the Upper Gallego catchment (Spain). Environmental Pollution,148(3), 842-854. [Abstract] Download PDF

  8. Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2007. Changes in drought frequency and severity over the British Isles projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. Journal of Hydrology, 342, 50-71. [Abstract] Download PDF

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Wilby, R.L. 2007. Beyond the downscaling comparison study. International Journal of Climatology, 27(12), 1543-1545. Download PDF

  2. Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S. and Tebaldi, C. 2007. Linking climate change modelling to impacts studies: recent advances in downscaling techniques for hydrological modelling. International Journal of Climatology, 27(12), 1547-1578. [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2007. Changes in drought characteristics for Europe projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. International Journal of Climatology, 27(12), 1595-1610. [Abstract] Download PDF

  4. Fowler, H.J., Ekström, M. Blenkinsop, S. and Smith, A.P. 2007. Estimating change in extreme European precipitation using a multi-model ensemble. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 112, D18104, doi:10.1029/2007JD008619. [Abstract] Download PDF

  5. Barth, J.A.C., Freitag, H., Fowler, H.J., Smith, A.P., Karim, A., Ingle, C. and McPhail, C. 2007. Water and Carbon Balance of the Clyde Watershed (Scotland): a stable isotope study on a European Precipitation and Vegetation Cover Extreme. Applied Geochemistry, 22, 2684-2694.  [Abstract] Download PDF

2008

  1. Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Dubus, I.G., Nolan, B.T. and Hollis, J.M. 2008. Developing climatic scenarios for pesticide fate modelling in Europe. Environmental Pollution, 154, 219-231. [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Burton, A., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., Cowpertwait, P.S.P. and O’Connell, P.E. 2008. RainSim: A spatial temporal stochastic rainfall modelling system. Environmental Modelling and Software, 23, 1356-1369.  [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Nolan, B.T., Dubus, I.G., Surdyk, N., Fowler, H.J., Burton, A., Hollis, J.M., Reichenberger, S. and Jarvis, N.J. 2008. Identification of key climatic factors regulating the transport of pesticides in leaching and to tile drains. Pest Management Science, 64, 933-944, doi: 10.1002/ps.1587. [Abstract] Download PDF

  4. Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2008. Seasonal forecasting of runoff on the River Jhelum, Pakistan, using meteorological data. Journal of Hydrology, 361, 10-23, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.07.017. [Abstract] Download PDF Erratum PDF

  5. Centofantia, T., Hollis, J.M., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Truckell, I., Dubus, I., and Reichenberger, S. 2008. Development of agro-environmental scenarios to support pesticide risk assessment in Europe. Science of the Total Environment, 407, 574-588, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2008.08.017.  [Abstract] Download PDF

2009

  1. Barth, J.A.C., Grathwohl, P., Fowler, H.J., Bellin, A., Gerzabek, M.H., Lair, G.J., Barceló, D., Petrovic, M., Navarro, A., Négrel, Ph., Petelet-Giraud, E., Darmendrail, D., Rijnaarts, H., Langenhoff, A., De Weert, J., Slob, A., van der Zaan, B.M., Gerritse, J., Frank, E., Gutierrez, A., Kretzschmar, R., Gocht, T., Steidle, D., Garrido, F., Jones, K.C., Meijer, S., Moeckel, C., Marsman, A., Klaver, G., Vogel, T., Bürger, C., Kolditz, O., Broers, H.P., Baran, N., Joziasse, J., Von Tümpling, W., van Gaans, P., Merly, C., Chapman, A., Brouyere, S., Batlle Aguilar, J., Orban, Ph., Tas, N., and Smidt, H. 2009. Mobility, turnover and storage of pollutants in soils, sediments and waters: achievements and results by the EU project AquaTerra. A review. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 29, 161-173, DOI: 10.1051/agro:2007060.  [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Fowler, H.J. and Ekström, M. 2009. Multi-model ensemble estimates of climate change impacts on UK seasonal precipitation extremes. International Journal of Climatology, 29(3), 385-416.  [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Alexander, L.V., Tapper, N. Zhang, X., Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Lynch, A. 2009. Climate Extremes: Progress and Future Directions. International Journal of Climatology, 29(3), 317-319. Download PDF

  4. Manning, L., Hall, J.W., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Tebaldi, C. 2009. Using probabilistic climate change information from a multimodel ensemble for water resources assessment. Water Resources Research, 45, W11411, doi:10.1029/2007WR006674. [Abstract] Download PDF

  5. Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. 2009. Large scale surface – subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves. Journal of Hydrology, 373, 122–138. [Abstract] Download PDF

  6. Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. 2009. How can large scale integrated surface - subsurface hydrological model be used to evaluate long term climate change impact on groundwater reserves. Calibration and reliability in groundwater modeling: managing groundwater and the environment (ed. Wang, Y.X.), p137-140.

2010

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Wilby, R.L. 2010. Detecting changes in seasonal precipitation extremes using regional climate model projections: Implications for managing fluvial flood risk. Water Resources Research, 46, W03525, doi:10.1029/2008WR007636. [Abstract] Download PDF

  2. Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Downscaling transient climate change using a Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulses stochastic rainfall model. Journal of Hydrology, 381 (1-2), 18-32, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.10.031  [Abstract] Download PDF

  3. Fowler, H.J, Cooley, D, Sain, S.R and Thurston, M. 2010. Detecting change in UK extreme precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC Climate Change Experiment. Extremes, 13(2), 241-267, doi:10.1007/s10687-010-0101-y  [Abstract] Download PDF

  4. Archer, D.R., Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J., and Shah, S.M. 2010. Sustainability of water resources management in the Indus Basin under changing climatic and socio economic conditions. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 14, 1669–1680, doi:10.5194/hess-14-1669-2010. [Abstract] Download PDF

  5. Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and O’Connell, P.E. 2010. A stochastic model for the spatial-temporal simulation of non-homogeneous rainfall occurrence and amounts. Water Resources Research, 46, W11501, doi:10.1029/2009WR008884.[Abstract] Download PDF

  6. Birkinshaw, S.J., O’Donnell, G.M., Moore, P., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., and Berry, P.A.M. 2010. Using Satellite Altimetry Data to Augment Flow Estimation Techniques on the Mekong River. Hydrological Processes, 24, 3811-3825, DOI: 10.1002/hyp.7811. [Abstract]  Download PDF

2011

  1. Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. 2011. Modelling climate change impacts on groundwater resources using transient stochastic climatic scenarios. Water Resources Research, 47, W12516, DOI: 10.1029/2010WR010082.  [Abstract]  Download PDF

  2. Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. 2011. How can large scale integrated surface - subsurface hydrological model be used to evaluate long term climate change impact on groundwater reserves. Managing Groundwater and the Environment (Proc. of ModelCARE 2009, Wuhan, China, September 2009). IAHS Publ. 341, p115-120. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  3. Viviroli, D., D.R. Archer, W. Buytaert, H.J. Fowler, G.B. Greenwood, A.F. Hamlet, Y. Huang, G. Koboltschnig, M.I. Litaor, J.I. López-Moreno, S. Lorentz, B. Schädler, H. Schreier, K. Schwaiger, M. Vuille and R. Woods. 2011. Climate change and mountain water resources: overview and recommendations for research, management and policy. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(2), 471-504.  [Abstract]  Download PDF  Supplement

2012

  1. Blenkinsop, S., Zhao, Y., Quinn, J., Berryman, F., Thornes, J., Baker, C. and Fowler, H.J. 2012. Downscaling future wind hazard for SE London using the UKCP09 regional climate model ensemble. Climate Research, 53, 141-156, doi: 10.3354/cr01091. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  2. Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Archer, D.R. 2012. Opportunities from remote sensing for supporting water resources management in village/valley scale catchments in the Upper Indus Basin. Water Resources Management, 26(4), 845-871, DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9933-8. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  3. Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2012. Assessment of runoff sensitivity in the Upper Indus Basin to interannual climate variability and potential change using MODIS satellite data products. Mountain Research and Development, 32(1), 16-29, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-11-00027.1  [Abstract]  Download PDF

  4. Visser, A., Kroes, J., van Vliet, M.T.H., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J. and Broers, H.P. 2012. Climate change impacts on the leaching of a heavy metal contamination in a small lowland catchment. Journal of Contaminant Hydrology 127, 47-64, DOI: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2011.04.007.  [Abstract]  Download PDF

  5. Majone, B., Bovolo, C.I., Bellin, A., Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2012. Modeling the impacts of future climate change on water resources for the Gallego river basin (Spain). Water Resources Research, 48, W01512, doi:10.1029/2011WR010985. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  6. van Vliet, M.T.H., Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Harpham, C., Broers, H.P. and Fowler, H.J. 2012. A multi-model ensemble of downscaled spatial climate change scenarios for the Dommel catchment, Western Europe. Climatic Change 111(2), 249-277, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0131-8. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  7. Coulthard, T.J., Ramirez, J., Fowler, H.J. and Glenis, V. 2012. Using the UKCP09 probabilistic scenarios to model the amplified impact of climate change on drainage basin sediment yield. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16(11), 4401-4416, doi:10.5194/hess-16-4401-2012. [Abstract]  Download PDF

2013

  1. Ekström, M., Kuruppu, N., Wilby, R., Fowler, H.J., Chiew, F., Dessai, S. and Young, B. 2013. Examination of climate risk using a modified uncertainty matrix framework – Applications in the water sector. Global Environmental Change, 23(1), 115–129. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.11.003. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  2. Jones, M.R., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., and Blenkinsop, S. An assessment of changes in seasonal and annual extreme rainfall in the UK between 1961 and 2009. 2012. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.3503. [Abstract]  Download PDF

In Press

  1. Chan, S.C., Kendon, E.J., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Ferro, C.A.T. and Stephenson, D.B. Does increasing the spatial resolution of a regional climate model improve the simulated daily precipitation? Climate Dynamics, in press, doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1568-9. [Abstract]  Download PDF

  2.  Sharif, M., Archer, D.R., Fowler, H.J. and Forsythe, N.D. Trends in magnitude and timing of flow in the Upper Indus Basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, in press.

Submitted

  1. Hardy, A., Forsythe, N.D., Holderness, T. and Fowler, H.J. Development of a Snow Covered Area (SCA) product for the Western Himalaya using AVHRR imagery. Remote Sensing of Environment, in revision.

  2. Blenkinsop, S., Harpham, C., Burton, A., Goderniaux, P., Brouyère, S. and Fowler, H.J. Downscaling transient climate change with a stochastic weather generator for the Geer catchment, Belgium. Climate Research, in revision.

  3. Jones, M., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. Objective classification of extreme rainfall regions for the UK and updated estimates of trends in regional extreme rainfall. International Journal of Climatology, in revision.

  4. Jones, M., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Stephenson, D.B., Kilsby, C.G. Multimodal seasonality in regional extreme daily rainfall. Submitted to Environmental Research Letters, Dec 2012.

     

In Preparation

  1. Burton, A. and Fowler, H.J. Plausible future climate rainfall scenarios for vulnerability studies of hydrological systems. In preparation.

  2. Hegerl, G., Black, E., Polson, D., Allan, R., Arkin, P., Sarojshini, B.B., Becker, A., Blyth, E., Chadwick, R., Dai, A., Durack, P., Easterling, D., Fowler, H.J., Good, L., Huffman, G., Ingram, W., Liu, C., Marsh, R., New, M., Skliris, N., Stott, P., Trenberth, K., Vidale, P.L., Wijffels, S., Wilcox, L., Willett, K., Zhang, X. Quantifying changes in the water cycle. In preparation for Bulletin of the American Met. Soc.

  3. Mearns, L.O., Forest, C.E., Fowler, H.J., Lempert, R. The Value of Research and Training in Integrated Uncertainty Analysis in Climate Change Research and Applications. In preparation for Bulletin of the American Met. Soc.

  4. Walsh, C.L., S. Blenkinsop, A. Burton, H.J. Fowler, V. Glenis, C.G. Kilsby, L.J. Manning, Use of probabilistic climate scenarios to assess water resources in the Thames catchment. In preparation for Water Resources Research.

  5. Chen, A.S., Djordjević, S., Burton, A., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. Flood modelling and hazard assessment of extreme pluvial events in large urban areas. In preparation for Water Management, Proceedings of the ICE.

  6. Blenkinsop, S., Forlin, L., Rigon, R., Fowler, H.J., Cordano, E., and Endrizzi, S. Investigating the impacts of climate change on hydrologic variability in the Brenta catchment using a multi-model approach. In preparation.

  7. Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Blenkinsop, S. Generating probabilistic estimates of climate change impacts on a hydrological system using a multi-model ensemble. In preparation for Journal of Hydrometeorology.

  8. Jones, M., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Vitolo, R., Stephenson, D.B., Kilsby, C.G. A model to characterise seasonally driven extreme rainfall in the UK. In preparation for Journal of Climate.

  9. Jones, M., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Kilsby, C.G. Improving extreme rainfall projections and exploring their impacts. In preparation for Nature Climate Change.

  10. Jones, M., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Kilsby, C.G. Identifying multi-dimensional hazards from climate extremes. In preparation for Proc. ICE – Civil Engineering.

  11. Ledingham, J., Kilsby, C.G. and Fowler, H.J. How often does an extreme rainfall event generate an extreme flow? Seasonality and the links between rain storm and flow events in the UK. In preparation.

  12. Forsythe, N.D., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., Archer, D. Insights from ERA Interim on continuing asymmetrical temperature change in the Upper Indus. In preparation for Journal of Climate.

  13. Forsythe, N.D., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. A high-resolution cloud climatology of the Upper Indus Basin from MODIS (Terra). In preparation for Journal of Climate.

Book Chapters:

  1. Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Supplement to: Brown S, Boorman P, McDonald R, Murphy J, 2009. Interpretation for use of surface wind speed projections from the 11-member Met Office Regional Climate Model ensemble. UKCP Technical Note.

  2. Fowler, H.J., Gutierrez, A., Marani, M., Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Stollsteiner, P., Brouyère, S., Goderniaux, P., van Vliet, M., Zanetti, S., Girard, J.F., Dautrebande, S., Baes, D., Mouvet, C., Baran, N., Baltassat, J.M., Bovolo, C.I., Bellin, A., Majone, B., Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., Boni, M., Jouin, F., Klinka, T., Janniche, G.S., Albrechtsen, H.J., Wuilleumier, A., Gigleux, S., and Banton, O. 2010. HYDRO - Climate and water cycle at the basin scale. In: Advanced Tools and Models to Improve River Basin Management in Europe in the Context of Climate Change – AquaTerra. (eds.) M. Finkel, J. Barth, P. Grathwohl, ISBN: 9781843393726, IWA Publishing, London UK, p3-12.

  3. Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., Majone, B., Bellin, A., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change on the Ebro River Basin. In: The Ebro River Basin, The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry (eds.) Damià Barceló and Mira Petrovic, Springer DE, to appear.

  4. Bovolo C.I., Blenkinsop S., Majone B., Zambrano-Bigiarini M., Fowler H.J., Bellin A., Burton A., Barceló D., Grathwohl P. and Barth J.A.C. Chapter 14 Climate Change, Water Resources and Pollution in the Ebro Basin – Towards an integrated approach. In: The Ebro River Basin, The Handbook of Environmental Chemistry (eds.) Damià Barceló and Mira Petrovic, Springer DE, to appear.

  5. Wilby, R.L. and Fowler, H.J. Chapter 4.2. Detecting changes in winter precipitation extremes and fluvial flood risk. In: Applied uncertainty analysis for flood risk management (eds) K. Beven and J.W. Hall, to appear in 2011.

  6. Wilby, R.L. and Fowler, H.J. 2010. Regional climate downscaling. Chapter 3 in Modelling the Impact of Climate Change, 1st Edition (eds) F. Fai, A. Lopez and M. New, Blackwell Publishing Ltd, p34-85.

  7. Barth, J.A.C., Grathwohl, P., Fowler, H.J., Bellin, A., Gerzabek, M.H., Lair, G.J., Barceló, D., Petrovic, M., Navarro, A., Négrel, Ph., Petelet-Giraud, E., Darmendrail, D., Rijnaarts, H., Langenhoff, A., De Weert, J., Slob, A., Frank, E., Gutierrez, A., Kretzschmar, R., Gocht, T., Steidle, D., Garrido, F., Jones, K.C., Meijer, S., Moeckel, C., Marsman, A., Klaver, G., Vogel, T., Bürger, C., Kolditz, O., Broers, H.P., Baran, N., Joziasseg, J., Von Tümpling, W., van Gaans, P., Merly, C., Chapman, A., Brouyere, S., Batlle Aguilar, J., Orban, Ph. 2009. Mobility, turnover and storage of pollutants in soils, sediments and waters: achievements and results by the EU project AquaTerra. A review. Chapter in: Sustainable Agriculture, Volume 1 (eds) E. Lichtfouse, M. Navarrete, P. Debaeke, V. Souchère, and C. Alberola, Springer, p857-871. ISBN: 9048126657, 9789048126651.

  8. White, S., Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2007. Water Resources. Chapter 1 in: Royal Society of Chemistry report: Chemical Science Priorities for Sustainable Water, 19pp.

Conference Papers:

  1. Wilkinson, S.M., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Challenges for the Assessment of Future Design Wind. 9th UK Conference on Wind Engineering, Bristol University, 20th - 22nd September 2010.

  2. Burton, A., Glenis, V., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G., Chen, A.S., and Djordjević, S. 2010. Stochastic rainfall modelling for the assessment of urban flood hazard in a changing climate. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.

  3. Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2010. Assessing climate pressures on glacier-melt and snowmelt-derived runoff in the Hindu Kush-Karakoram sector of the Upper Indus Basin. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.

  4. Fowler, H.J., Wilby, R.L., Cooley, D., Sain, S.R. and Thurston, M. 2010. Detecting changes in UK precipitation extremes using climate model projections: Implications for managing fluvial flood risk. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.

  5. Blenkinsop, S., Hallett, S., Truckell, I. and Fowler, H.J. 2010. The CREW project: Towards a toolkit for the use of probabilistic climate change projections. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.

  6. Jones, M., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. An updated regional frequency analysis of United Kingdom extreme rainfall from 1961-2009. In: BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010.

  7. Chen, A.S., Djordjević, S., Fowler, H.J., Burton, A., Walsh, C., Harvey, H., Hall, J., Dawson, R. and Wood, G. 2009. Pluvial flood modelling of the South East London Resilience Zone in the Community Resilience to Extreme Weather (CREW) Project. FCRM09 Conference, 30th June - 2nd July, Telford.

  8. Fowler, H.J., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Bürger, C.M., Bellin, A., Bigiarini, M.Z., Majone, B., Alberici, D., Barceló, D., Grathwohl, P., and Barth J. 2008. Climate investigations on a river basin scale and prediction of pollutants: a success story from the Ebro basin. In Proceedings of Water scarcity and management under Mediterranean climate, Girona, Spain, 24-25th November, 2008, 45-53.

  9. Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Blenkinsop, S. 2008. Probabilistic estimates of climate change impacts on flows in the River Eden, Cumbria. Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society 10th National Hydrology Symposium, Exeter, 15-17th September 2008.

  10. Reaney, S.M. and Fowler, H.J. 2008. Uncertainty estimation of climate change impacts on river flow incorporating stochastic downscaling and hydrological model parameterisation error sources. Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society 10th National Hydrology Symposium, Exeter, 15-17th September 2008.

  11. Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Smith, A.P., Ekstrom, M. and Kilsby, C.G. Can Regional Climate Models reproduce the historic magnitude and frequency of severe UK extreme rainfall events, and how will this change under global warming? Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society 9th National Hydrology Symposium, Durham, 11-13th September 2006, pp. 45-52.

  12. Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2005. Seasonal forecasting of runoff on the Upper Indus using empirical relations with meteorological data. Symposium on the Contribution from Glaciers and Snow Cover to Runoff from Mountains in Different Climates (ICSI), VIIth IAHS Scientific Assembly, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 3-9 April 2005.

  13. Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2005. Hydro-climatological variability in the Upper Indus Basin and implications for water resources. Regional Hydrologic Impacts of Climatic Variability and Change with an Emphasis on Less Developed Countries, VIIth IAHS Scientific Assembly, Foz do Iguaçu, Brazil, 3-9 April 2005.

  1. Archer, D.R. and Fowler, H.J. 2004. Exploratory analysis of ground-based data to assess climate runoff links in the Upper Indus Basin. International Conference on Hydrology of Mountain Environments, Berchtesgaden, Federal Republic of Germany, 27 Sep-1 Oct 2004.

  1. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2004. Future increases in UK water resource drought projected by a regional climate model. Proceedings of the BHS International Conference on Hydrology: Science & Practice for the 21st Century, Volume 1, London, 12-16 July 2004, p15-21.

  2. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and O’Connell, P.E. 2002. Modelling the impact of climate change on the reliability of the Yorkshire water supply network. Proceedings of the BHS 8th National  Hydrology Symposium, University of Birmingham, 8-11th September, 2002, 83-90.

  3. Kilsby, C.G. and Fowler, H.J. 2002. Changing UK extreme rainfall and implications for design. Proceedings of the BHS 8th National Hydrology Symposium, University of Birmingham, 8-11th September, 2002, 113-120.

  4. Fowler, H.J., and Kilsby, C.G. 2000. Linking Precipitation Measurements to Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation: Implications for Water Resources Management and Planning in Yorkshire, UK. AGU Chapman Conference on the North Atlantic Oscillation, Vigo, Spain, 28th November – 1st December 2000.

  5. Fowler, H.J. 1997. Numerical modelling of the downstream propagation of organic matter. CIWEM East Anglia Branch Young Writer’s competition, Cambridge, February 1997.

 

Extended Abstracts and Posters:

  1. Fowler, H.J., Forsythe, N., Archer, D.R. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. A vertical hydroclimatology of the Upper Indus Basin and the potential for hydrological change. Global Change and the World's Mountains, Perth, UK, September 2010.

  2. Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J., Archer, D.R. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Investigation of means to meet information needs for local decision makers for water resources management in the Upper Indus Basin. Global Change and the World's Mountains, Perth, UK, September 2010.

  3. Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J., Archer, D.R. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Avenues for improved assessment of accumulated snowpack in the Upper Indus Basin for use in operational forecasting. Global Change and the World's Mountains, Perth, UK, September 2010.

  4. Forsythe, N., Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Archer, D.R. 2010. Adaptation of a pattern-scaling approach for assessment of local (village/valley) scale water resources and related vulnerabilities in the Upper Indus Basin. BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010. Poster Presentation.

  5. Jones, M., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. Changes in the annual largest daily rainfall totals. BHS 2010: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, Proc. BHS Third International Symposium, Newcastle, 19th-23rd July 2010. Poster Presentation.

  6. Jones, M., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. Changes in the annual largest daily rainfall totals. 11th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, University of Edinburgh, Scotland, July 12-16, 2010. Poster Presentation.

  7. Fowler, H.J, Cooley, D, Sain, S.R and Thurston, M. 2010. Detecting change in UK extreme precipitation using results from the climateprediction.net BBC Climate Change Experiment. 11th International Meeting on Statistical Climatology, University of Edinburgh, Scotland, July 12-16, 2010.

  8. Goderniaux, P., Brouyère, S., Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Fowler, H.J. and Dassargues, A. 2010. Uncertainty of simulated groundwater levels arising from stochastic transient climate change scenarios. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.

  9. Jones, M., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Blenkinsop, S. 2010. Robust detection of changes in extreme rainfall? European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria. Poster Presentation.

  10. Ledingham, J., Kilsby, C.G. and Fowler, H.J. 2010. Mapping from Rainfall Frequency to Flood Frequency: an alternative method for climate impact assessment. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.

  11. Burton, A., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2010. Transient climate rainfall downscaling using a combined dynamic-stochastic methodology. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.

  12. Zambrano-Bigiarini, M., Bellin, A., Majone, B., Bovolo, C.I., Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J. 2010. Evaluating the impact of hydrological uncertainty in assessing the impact of climate change on water resources of the Ebro River Basin (Spain). European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria.

  13. Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2010. Adaptation of a pattern-scaling approach for assessment of local (village/valley) scale water resources and related vulnerabilities in the Upper Indus Basin. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria. Poster Presentation.

  14. Forsythe, N., Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2010. A vertical hydroclimatology of the Upper Indus Basin and initial insights to potential hydrological change in the region. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, May 2-7 2010, Vienna, Austria. Poster Presentation.

  15. Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Harpham, C., and Goderniaux, P. 2009. Downscaling Transient Climate Change Scenarios for Water Resource Management. European Geosciences Union General Assembly, April 19-24 2009, Vienna, Austria.

  16. Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Burton, A., Bovolo, C.I., van Vliet, M., and Goderniaux, P. 2009. State-of-the-art climate change scenarios in AquaTerra. AquaTerra Final Conference, 25-27 March 2009, Tübingen, Germany.

  17. Blenkinsop, S., Burton, A., Fowler, H.J., Harpham, C., and Kilsby, C.G., 2009. Producing Transient Climate Change Scenarios for AQUATERRA Catchments. AquaTerra Final Conference, 25-27 March 2009, Tübingen, Germany. Poster Presentation

  18. Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., Dassargues, A. Large scale surface – subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves. 2009 Ground Water Summit—The Science and Engineering Conference: Adapting to Increasing Demands in a Changing Climate, Tucson, Arizona, US, April 19-23, 2009.

  19. Fowler, H.J., S.R. Sain, M. Allen, A. Lopez. Quantifying the change in extreme seasonal precipitation events under global warming using a grand ensemble experiment. AGU Fall Meeting 2007, Session GC43A: Exploiting the Repositories of Multiple-Model Simulations of Climate Change, San Francisco, US, 10-14th December 2007. 

  20. Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C., Allen M. and Christensen, C. 2007. Quantifying the change in extreme seasonal precipitation events under global warming using a grand ensemble experiment. Session MS015: Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Past Occurrences and Future Likelihoods, IUGG XXIV Assembly, Perugia, Italy, July 2-13th 2007.

  21. Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C. and Blenkinsop, S. 2007. Generating probabilistic estimates of climate change impacts on a hydrological system. Session MS016 - Downscaling to Local and Regional Scales (ICCL), IUGG XXIV Assembly, Perugia, Italy, July 2-13th 2007.

  22. Ekström, M., Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S. and Smith, A.P. 2007. Using probabilistic representation of RCM rainfall to quantify uncertainty in future UK regional rainfall. Session MS015: Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Past Occurrences and Future Likelihoods, IUGG XXIV Assembly, Perugia, Italy, July 2-13th 2007.

  23. Fowler, H.J., Ekström, M., Blenkinsop, S. and Smith, A. 2007. Probabilistic projections of change in UK extreme rainfall using the PRUDENCE regional climate models. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2007.

  24. Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C., Blenkinsop, S. and Smith, A. 2007. Linking probabilistic climate scenarios with downscaling methods for impact studies. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2007.

  25. Fowler, H.J. 2006. Modelling the past and future magnitudes and frequency of severe European rainfall events. Global Environmental Change: Regional Challenges, Beijing, China, 9-12th November 2006.

  26. Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2006. Impacts of global warming on the climate and hydrology of the Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan. Global Environmental Change: Regional Challenges, Beijing, China, 9-12th November 2006.

  27. Fowler, H.J., Tebaldi, C., Blenkinsop, S. and Smith, A.P. 2006. Linking probabilistic climate scenarios with downscaling methods for impact studies. British Hydrological Society 9th National Hydrology Symposium, Durham, 11-13th September 2006.

  28. Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2006. Examining changes in drought frequency and severity in the British Isles estimated by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. British Hydrological Society 9th National Hydrology Symposium, Durham, 11-13th September 2006.

  29. Dubus, I., Azimonti, G., Bach, M., Barriuso, E. Bidoglio, G., Bouraoui, F., Fialkiewicz, W., Fowler, H.J., François, O., Højberg, A., Hollis, J., Jarvis, N., Kajewski, I., Kjær, J., Lewis, K., Lobnik, F., Lolos, P., Réal, B., Reichenberger, S., Stenemo, F., Suhadolc, M. and Vavoulidou–Theodorou, E. 2006. FOOTPRINT: Developing functional tools for pesticide risk assessment and management at various scales in Europe. SETAC Europe 16th Annual Meeting, The Hague, The Netherlands, 7-11th May 2006.

  30. Barth, J.A.C., von Tümpling, W., Lobe, I., Mouvet, C., Albrechtsen, H-J., Tauler, R., Slobodnick, J., Steidle, D., Kuntz, D., Bürger, C., Beinhorn, M., Fowler, H.J., Kolditz, O., Grathwohl, P. 2006 AquaTerra: Monitoring Activities in selected River Basins. SWIFT-WFD Workshop, Barcelona, 15-16th May, 2006.

  31. Fowler, H.J., Blenkinsop, S., Smith, A.P., Ekström, M., and Kilsby, C.G. 2006. Changes in UK extreme rainfall projected by the PRUDENCE regional climate models. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2006.

  32. Fowler, H.J. and Archer, D.R. 2006. Impacts of global warming on the hydrology of the Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2006.

  33. Blenkinsop, S. and Fowler, H.J. 2006. Regional Climate Model (RCM) performance for European catchments and future changes in drought. Geophysical Research Abstracts, EGU 2006.

  34. Dubus, I., Azimonti, G., Bach, M., Barriuso, E. Bidoglio, G., Bouraoui, F., Fialkiewicz, W., Fowler, H.J., François, O., Højberg, A., Hollis, J., Jarvis, N., Kajewski, I., Kjær, J., Lewis, K., Lobnik, F., Lolos, P., Réal, B., Reichenberger, S., Stenemo, F., Suhadolc, M. and Vavoulidou–Theodorou, E. 2006. Developing functional tools for pesticide risk assessment and management at various scales in Europe: the EU project FOOTPRINT. Pesticide Behaviour in Soils, Water and Air, Warwick, UK, 27-29th March 2006.

  35. Fowler, H.J. 2005. Changing rainfall patterns and implications for flood risk in the UK: dramatic increase in climatic variability or the first indications of climate change? Workshop on Climate Change: A multi-dimensional challenge, Lund, Sweden, 26th-28th October 2005.

  36. Fowler, H.J., Burton, A., Blenkinsop, S., Kilsby, C.G., Rigon, R., Zardi, D. and Marani, M. 2005. Downscaling climate change scenarios to represent climatic variability at the catchment scale. AquaTerra Special Session at ConSoil 2005, Bordeaux, France, 28th September 2005.

  37. Burton, A., Moaven-Hashemi , A., Kilsby, C.G. and Fowler, H.J. 2005. Simulating monthly and inter-annual precipitation variability with a Neyman Scott space-time rainfall generator. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 7, 08788, EGU 2005.

  38. Fowler, H.J. 2005. Climate change impacts modelling and hydrological extremes. BHS: The Next 21 years, Lancaster University, 2nd March, 2005.

  39. Fowler, H.J. 2004. Changes in UK extreme rainfall, observed change and projections of regional climate models: implications for flood risk. 3rd International NCCR Climate Summer School, Climate Variability: From Observation to Prediction, Centro Stefano Franscini, Monte Verità, Ticino, Switzerland, 29 August - 3 September 2004.

  1. Fowler, H.J., Kilsby, C.G. and Stunell, J. 2004. Impacts of future climate change on upland hydrology and water resources in the North West Integrated Resource Zone BHS Pennines Hydrological Group meeting on Upland Hydrology, Salford University, 3rd June, 2004.

  2. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. Seasonal changes in UK extreme rainfall. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 5, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11th April, 2003.

  3. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2003. Changes in UK extreme rainfall projected by regional climate models and implications for flood risk. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 5, 2003, EGS-AGU-EUG Joint Assembly, Nice, France, 6-11th April, 2003.

  4. Fowler, H.J. and Kilsby, C.G. 2002. Changing magnitude and frequency of extreme rainfall events in the UK from 1961 to 2000. Geophysical Research Abstracts, Volume 4, 2002, EGS 27th General Assembly, Nice, France, 21-26th April.

  5. Fowler, H.J. 2000. Development of a stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Proceedings of the British Hydrological Society Seventh National Hydrology Symposium, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, 4-6 September 2000.

  6. Fowler, H.J., and Kilsby, C.G. 2000. Observed climate change in Yorkshire, UK: linking precipitation measurements to large-scale atmospheric circulation. The 10th British Hydrological Society Postgraduate Symposium, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, 4-5 September 2000.

  7. Fowler, H.J. 2000. Development of a stochastic rainfall model for the assessment of regional water resource systems under changed climatic conditions. Hydrology in Scotland 2000, Dundee University, 22-23rd March, 2000.

  8. Fowler, H.J. 1999. Precipitation in Yorkshire, UK, linked to weather type analysis. The 9th British Hydrological Society Postgraduate Symposium, Bristol, March 1999.

  9. Fowler, H.J. 1999. Climate change and water resources in Yorkshire, UK. Pennine Hydrological Group, Climate change and water resources, Huddersfield, February 1999.

  10. Fowler, H.J. 1998. Generating Synthetic Daily Flow Sequences for Rivers in Yorkshire using Stochastic Rainfall Models. Tyne and Humber Branch of CIWEM, Newcastle upon Tyne, November 1998.

 

Theses and Reports:

  1. Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., Walsh, C., Murray, M.G., Tellier, S., Moaven-Hashemi, A., Burton, A., Howels,  T.R., and O’Donnell, G.M. 2004. SWURVE Contractor’s Final Report, July 2004, 105pp.

  1. O’Connell, P.E., Beven, K.J., Carney, J.N., Clements, R.O., Ewen, J., Fowler, H.J., Harris, G.L., Hollis, J., Morris, J., O’Donnell, G.M., Packman, J.C., Parkin, A., Quinn, P.F., and Rose, S.C. 2004. Review of impacts of rural land use and management on flood generation. Part A: Impact study report. Defra/Environment Agency Flood and Coastal Defence R&D Programme, R&D Technical Report FD2114, 114 pp.

  2. Kilsby, C.G., Fowler, H.J., Walsh, C., Murray, M.G., O’Donnell, G.M. and Howels, T.R. 2002. SWURVE  Annual Report, 43pp.

  3. O’Connell, P.E., Kilsby, C.G. and Fowler, H.J. 2002. Indicators for Extreme Events (Floods and Droughts). Preliminary Report to UNESCO for the World Water Development Report, January 2002. 32pp.

  4. Fowler, H.J. 2000. The impacts of climatic change and variability on water resources in Yorkshire. Unpublished Ph.D. thesis, University of Newcastle upon Tyne. 368pp.

  5. Fowler, H.J. 1997. Generating synthetic daily flow sequences for rivers in Yorkshire using stochastic rainfall models. Unpublished MSc. Thesis, University of Newcastle upon Tyne. 178pp.

  6. Fowler, H.J. 1996. Numerical modelling of the downstream propagation of organic matter. Unpublished BA thesis, Cambridge University.146pp.

 

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