There are two important implications of this principle.
First, people get better at doing things and accumulate better and
more
resources (their production possibility frontiers (ppfs) move outwards).
Second, peoples tastes and preferences change, especially as their income, leisure time and general education changes. They will therefore alter what they are willing to pay for particular products and services, and this, too, can change the value of your comparative advantages, and may even shift your advantage from, say, beef production to the supply of farm holidays and conservation of remote landscapes and habitats. In other words, the terms of trade [(what you get (imports or purchases) for what you produce and sell (exports/outputs)] change depending on changes in ppfs and changes in preferences (and also get altered by changes in exchange rates in the case of internationally traded goods and services - which we have already dealt with, and is important).
Gains from trade are a result of exploiting the gains in productive
efficiency arising from countries (or regions) concentrating on what
they
do best (produce most efficiently, or at least cost) and trading the
products
for those goods (and services) for which this region/country is less
efficient
(making domestic production more expensive).
In general, specialisation and trade is advantageous because:
So, markets happen to allow people, sectors and regions to specialise and trade with each other, which in turn encourages the most efficient use of the available people and resources - producing more of what is wanted (ensuring effectiveness - doing the right things) with a minimum use of resources (i.e. ensuring efficiency - doing things right). In free markets, this specialisation and trade will tend to differentiate earnings of different factors (including people) according to their relative scarcity - the availability of the particular skill or resource compared with the demand for the use of the skill or resource (which in turn is derived from the demands for the products and services the resource produces).
Within a country, people and capital can and will move. There will be a flow of people and capital away from those regions and sectors which have relatively abundant resources and hence low returns towards those regions and sectors which have scarce resources and high (or more secure) returns. In the limit, this flow will equalise returns to resources (given their quality relative to demands for their particular capabilities) throughout the country. Differentials in rates of return will then reflect different qualities and be driven by the relative demands for these distinctive capabilities. The scarcer the particular resource capability relative to the demands for its use, the higher its return and the greater the incentives to create and develop other resources (people, land, capital) to imitate or duplicate these particular capabilities.
In the limit, within a country (defined here as a region within
which
there is free movement of capital and labour), trade and markets will
tend to result
in an equalisation of prices for goods and services, and also an
equalisation
of returns to capital, labour and land (quality differences aside)
across
all sectors and regions. Differentials will simply reflect the costs of
moving goods and services from one place, time or form to another, and
similarly the costs of moving and changing labour, land and capital
from
one form or place to another. The greater the costs of transformation,
the greater will be the persistent differentials.
For example, if farmers are really determined to continue to be farmers whatever their returns, then they must expect the differential between their earnings as farmers and those in the rest of the economy to grow wider and wider (since the total earnings of farming relative to the total economy will inevitably decline as economies grow and spend more on other things than food)
Between countries, however, it is typically assumed that capital and labour mobility is more restricted - it is more costly to re-locate capital, and especially labour, between countries than within. People do not generally want to move, and will only move if the attractive incentives to move (or repulsive penalties for staying put) are sufficiently great. So, international labour, land and capital return differentials might be expected to be larger than within country differentials.
Free trade, however, will still tend to equalise prices between countries (with remaining differentials simply reflecting marketing costs) - the purchasing power parity theory of long-run exchange rates (see above).
Rich countries, in this logic, are those with greater amounts of capital (especially) and land per head of the population and greater levels of skills, experience and education per head. These resources earn more per head than in poorer countries. Economic migration happens because people want to earn more, so they tend to gravitate towards those regions of the world with higher earnings.
There are two major counteracting forces preventing economic
migration
from equalising international wages and factor returns: a)
people
(especially) are typically reluctant to move away from their
birthplaces,
families and roots. The stronger and longer are the roots, the more
reluctant
they are to move, being content to remain relatively impoverished. The
more impoverished they are, the less easy it is to move because the
costs
and risks are too great; b) the richer communities attempt to
preserve
and conserve their own wealth by preventing incomers and immigrants.
Unless
countries find themselves desperately short of particular forms of
labour
(typically unskilled, low waged or for menial or unpleasant jobs) entry
to the richer regions will be restricted. Hence, wage equalisation is
slow,
costly and painful. - and depends on the poor managing to accumulate
more capital, and find more things to do and produce with their labour.
Capital, however, is increasingly internationally mobile - but the
ownership
of capital is typically restricted, returning the returns on capital to
the owners rather than the residents or workers. Hence the reluctance
of
developing countries and economies in transition (the Former Soviet
Union,
for instance) to welcome offshore or foreign capital. On the
other hand, the owners and managers of capital (Pension funds,
Insurance companies, etc.) tend to be risk
averse, and prefer to invest in places which are known to be
secure and where returns are relatively certain - which is often not
the less developed regions of the world. In addition, the owners
of the capital tend to be in the richer areas of the world, so even
when capital is invested in less developed regions, the returns flow
back to the developed regions and richer people.
As a consequence, there are good reasons to suppose that the gains from trade are differentially distributed between the haves and the havenots, with the gains accruing largely to those that already have, despite also helping those who have not.
Meanwhile, apparent comparative advantages between countries will tend to reflect the following:
And also
ALL OF WHICH CONTRIBUTE TO COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE. [do not do unto others as you would they should do unto you - their tastes may not be the same (Shaw)] So, relativity discovered in economics (by Ricardo (1772 - 1823) as an extension of the Adam Smith logic of markets) well before Einstein did so in physics!
All of the conditions determining comparative advantage, however, (even land endowments, through land improvement - drainage, irrigation etc.)) change through time. Hence the story of the industrial revolution: UK's comparative advantage in engineering, industry etc. based on coal), food in the Colonies, then changing with "mass production" and labour intensity, with declining industries tending to be protected (that is shielded in some way from the world market), since trading conditions encourage the re-allocation of resources away from those sectors in which the country no longer has a comparative advantage.
Furthermore:
Trade Restrictions (as one of the ways in which producers try to protect their markets from competition)
These logics almost inevitably give rise to trade restrictions between countries, with the more common reasons for these restrictions being:
In simple terms, a country's comparative advantage depends on its resource endowments - the more land and labour it has relative to capital, the more likely it is to have a comparative advantage in farm products. As Anderson (1995, p 119 - 120) remarks: "since the usable capital stock per worker in those (Central and Eastern European - CEE) countries is low relative to the stock of agricultural land and other farm capital per worker, their comparative advantages during the next decade or so are likely to be in primary products and standard technology manufactures until new stocks of industrial capital accumulate (Hamilton and Winters, 1992; Anderson, 1992, 1993)". He goes on: "So it is in these product areas that access to EU markets is most sought after. While to date (1995) the EU has been resisting, at the behest of its domestic interest groups, there are serious concerns about immigration from, and/or political upheavals in the transforming economies should those economies not begin to prosper soon." Anderson uses the illustrative framework suggested by Leamer (1987) to summarise relative resource endowments for different countries (Figure 1).
In this Figure,
N denotes land resources (here measured as cropland); L shows
population;
C indicates industrial capital (as well as other produced capital,
including
skills and technology). The approximate location within this triangle
of
each country (or region) can be measured relative to the world
average,
which is taken as the numeraire.
Thus, the location of the world on this diagram is at point W (we do not, yet, trade with any other 'world'). Countries which lie above the line AC have relatively greater areas of cropland per person than the world average, and are likely to have a comparative advantage in farm products . Countries lying to the left of line NB are relatively poor compared with the world average, implying that they also have less capital (including human capital) to attract and earn income per person than the world average. As an illustration, the approximate locations of Poland (P), Hungary (H) and Germany (G) are indicated on the diagram. From this simple and highly aggregated analysis, it seems clear that these two Central European Countries (CECs), at least, are likely to have a comparative advantage in farm products (along with most of North America, South America, sub-Saharan Africa, Australasia and much of south-eastern Asia and the Former Soviet Union).
The implication of this simple analysis is that liberalisation
(opening
up of the world economy to freer trade) should enable Poland to take
advantage
of its natural comparative advantage in farm products, which in turn
should
lead to growth of the domestic economy, especially the farm and related
sectors. There is now little doubt that open economies perform better
than
closed economies (see, e.g. Edwards, 1993, Thomas et al., 1991, and
Greenway
and Sapsford, 1994). As Falvey, 1997, observes: "the beneficial resource
allocation effects of allowing freer trade are now widely accepted,
although
under the standard assumptions they appeared likely to be very small."
(p2).
However, he goes on: "Recent
developments in trade theory suggest that the
resource misallocation effects may be much higher than is
conventionally
estimated. - The reasons have to do with the dynamic effects of trade
liberalisation,
where, for example, Romer, 1994, emphasises innovation and introduction
of new technologies, new services, new productive activities and new
types
of capital and inputs, all of which tend to be stifled under more
protectionist
and regulated markets. In turn, such regulations and protection (and
central
control) encourages economic resourcefulness to be channelled towards
beating
(or farming) the regulations and lobbying bureaucracies (activities
which
are substantially unproductive, but earn rents for those who control
the
regulations or own the quota rights etc.) rather than on developing and
growing markets (see, e.g. Feenstra, 1992) - the rent seeking
phenomenon,
closely associated with bribery and corruption."
Krugman (see reference at head of this page) suggests
that there are four major characterisations of trade views - one of
which (in particular) tends to strongly support trade intervention,
restriction and protection (often using the arguments above in support
of trade restriction or "management") - the mercantalist.
For the mercantalist, trade is a definite competition between
countries, exports are good, generating jobs, incomes and profits at
home, imports are bad, equivalent to exporting jobs to other
countries. Although this sounds very protectionist, mercantalists
have to recognise that they live in a world of more than one country,
and so have to do deals with other countries, and other mercantalists,
so end up 'trading' access to international markets with each
other, and gradually reducing trade restrictions, albeit with strong
conditions that the resulting freer trade should be fair (at least to
them, if to no one else) - which is pretty much the way the WTO works.
The other three characters in Krugman's
view are: the Classicist
(the economists' understanding of
comparative advantage and the benefits of trade); the Strategist
(who believes that imperfections in the market (such as major economies
of scale - equivalent to natural monopolies, and also imperfect
competition - oligopoly) can give reasons for strategic intervention in
trade (the 'new trade theory'); the Realist - who accepts that
there may be theoretical justification for intervention in certain
restricted circumstances, but that the practical gains from such
intervention are typically very small, and the dangers (and costs) of
the interventions being abused by the powerful, and extended beyond
their narrow limits, are far more important.
Krugman outlines "The Narrow and Broad
arguments for Free Trade"
(AER, Vol. 83, No. 2, Papers and Proceedings of the Hundred and Fifth
Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association (May, 1993), pp.
362-366), from a broadly 'realist' perspective. This short paper admits
that the simple story of comparative advantage hardly explains the
trade patterns and flows that we actually see. Economies of scale
(including those of advertising) and external economies (companies grow
better in neighbourhoods well serviced with skilled labour forces,
transport and communication links, R&D facilities and like-minded
companies etc.) are also important. Furthermore, the world is not
'perfectly competitive' - information is not universal but scarce and
costly to obtain and process into knowledge; monopolistic competition
is more prevalent than perfect competition. The simple economic
argument in favour of free trade, therefore, does not hold in
practice. Does this mean that countries (governments) could make
their people better off by pursuing so-called "Strategic Trade
Policies" which seek to provide preference to domestic companies over
their foreign rivals? No, Krugman answers, because other
countries will retaliate, and we will all be worse off as a
consequence, rather than better off. If and when markets 'fail' - fix
the failure at source (low wages - educate and train the work force -
etc.), using trade policy will end up being a 'cure' worse than the
disease.
[Refs:
A more sophisticated economic response might well include:
Thus, we could measure the opportunity costs of the domestic resources (land, labour, and capital) used in the production of a good per unit of value added measured at border prices (the unprotected and unsupported prices), where value added is the difference between the sale price of the good and the cost per unit of the inputs used in its production. This ratio is known as the Domestic Resource Cost (DRC).
DRC = [Opportunity Costs of Resources used] divided by [Value Added produced measured at Border (unprotected) Prices]
So long as this ratio is less than one, then the production will be capable of generating a positive return over and above opportunity costs to the local or domestic resources being used - i.e. capable of generating a pure or excess profit. In a system of perfectly competitive markets, all DRCs would be equal to one - no pure or excess profit opportunities anywhere in the system. More generally, sectors with DRCs less than one would be expected to grow (to be competitive), while those with DRCs greater than one would be expected to decline (be uncompetitive) unless they can improve their productivity (or improve the value of their product by adjusting the quality to match consumers willingness to pay).
In practice, this approach is plagued by problems:
When EU prices, rather than world prices, are used as the comparitor, the competitiveness as measured by DRC generally improves - since EU prices are generally higher than world prices, though this also applies to the prices of inputs used to generate value added.
But, does DRC measure comparative advantage? As pointed out above, in a world which fully exploits all the efficiencies of pursuing comparative advantage, specialisation and gains from trade, all DRCs would be 1 - and we would not be able to measure comparative advantages through this route. Comparative advantages would show up in such a world in trade flows, and associated balances between production, imports, exports and consumption levels in various localities, regions and countries.
But, in practice, current trade flows are distorted - competition is not the only thing driving economic activity and pursuit of profitable opportunities - governments interfere with trade and prices (for their own reasons). The effects of these interventions (and of other inefficiencies), may well be illustrated by DRCs, but these measures may NOT illustrate any underlying comparative disadvantage. For instance, suppose we measure the DRC for a sector (like cereals) in a country where support for agriculture is commonplace. The opportunity cost of land will be high, because of the support, as will the opportunity cost of capital (since there will be more capital used), as will the cost of labour (since there will be more people trying to earn a living from the industry than otherwise). DRCs, in this case, are quite likely to show that the sector is uncompetitive. However, if and when the support were to be removed, the employment of factors in the industry would adjust, as would the value of land, and the sector would be shown to be competitive after all.
Reference to Domestic
Resource Cost measures: Mat Gorton and Sophia Davidova, on
CEC agriculture's competitiveness and DRC Measures
Competitiveness deals with the notions of whether one product (and thus its supply or marketing chain) can compete in the market place and sustain, if not improve, its share of the total market and the total value it can add to the raw materials as the products move through the chain. Although the principle of comparative advantage still operates, the extent of competition and competitiveness involves rather more than simply how good you are at making this product compared with your ability to make other products.
<>What is that makes firms (production/marketing systems) and their resources distinctive? Since technologies are frequently easily copied and most resources are fairly commonly available, distinctiveness must rely on more intangible aspects of business organisation. Kay identifies four key elements to a firms (or marketing chains) distinctiveness:
Competitiveness, according to these concepts, now involves harnessing a firms distinctive capabilities to the competitive advantage of the actual and potential products (and their underlying resources), with the primary objective of adding value to the product (as a combination of inputs and resources), since it is the added value which provides the income and profit to the firm or chain. It is this combination of competitive advantage and distinctive capability which determines the competitiveness of the firm or chain.
Major Ref:
John Kay, Foundations of Corporate
Success, Oxford University Press,
1993.
So what for British Agriculture?
It is commonly thought that British agriculture will tend to bifurcate into large scale,
intensive or ranch/prairie style farming systems on the one hand and
small, part-time hobby or recreational 'farms' on the other, as farming
households and businesses try to find their best fits with an
increasingly freer trade and unsupported industry. However,
consider the following representation of the possible futures for UK
agriculture: