Blenkinsop, S., Fowler, H.J., Dubus, I.G., Nolan, B.T. and Hollis, J.M. 2008. Developing climatic scenarios for pesticide fate modelling in Europe. Environmental Pollution, 154, 219-231.

Abstract

A climatic classification for Europe suitable for pesticide fate modelling was constructed using a 3-stage process involving the identification of key climatic variables, the extraction of the dominant modes of spatial variability in those variables and the use of k-means clustering to identify regions with similar climates.  The procedure identified 16 coherent zones that reflect the variability of climate across Europe whilst maintaining a manageable number of zones for subsequent modelling studies.  An analysis of basic climatic parameters for each zone demonstrates the success of the scheme in identifying distinct climatic regions.

Objective criteria were used to identify one representative 26-year daily meteorological series from a European dataset for each zone.  The representativeness of each series was then verified against the zonal classifications.  These new FOOTPRINT climate zones provide a state-of-the-art objective classification of European climate complete with representative daily data that are suitable for use in pesticide fate modelling.