Name: Prof. Hayley Fowler
Present position: Professor of Climate Change Impacts
I conduct high-impact research in climate change impacts and have published 55 peer-reviewed papers (with 3 in press), with an overall H-index of 20, since 2000. Average of 27.3 citations per paper (6 articles with >50-citations; 1>200 citations), increasing recent trajectory, with 7 new submitted papers and about 415 citations/yr in 2012. Total of 1274 citations without self-citations; web of science, Jan 29 2013.
My key publications since 2000 estimate recent and projected changes to extreme rainfall and flood risk, for the first time using regional frequency analysis (Fowler and Kilsby, 2003a,b; Fowler et al., 2005; Ekström et al., 2005; Jones et al., 2012), examine recent (Fowler and Kilsby, 2002a) and projected changes to water resource and meteorological drought (Fowler and Kilsby 2002a,b, Fowler et al., 2003, 2007a; Blenkinsop and Fowler, 2007a,b; Manning et al., 2009; Goderniaux et al., 2011, 2012; Majone et al., 2012) and their drivers (Fowler and Kilsby, 2002b), develop novel probabilistic downscaling methods using multi-model ensembles of climate models to inform future projections of hydrological extremes (Fowler et al., 2007a,b; Fowler and Ekström, 2009; Manning et al., 2009) including the development of stochastic rainfall models with time-varying properties (Fowler et al., 2000, 2005; Burton et al., 2008, 2010a,b; van Vliet et al., 2012), bias-correction methods (Fowler et al., 2007b) and weather generators (Kilsby et al., 2007: precursor to UKCP09), determine when changes to regional precipitation extremes will be detectable using non-stationary GEV models (Fowler and Wilby, 2010; Fowler et al., 2010), the effect of climate model resolution on the simulation of precipitation (Chan et al., in press).
Oct 2006-09 NERC Postdoctoral Research Fellow
Nov 2007-Jan 2008 Visiting Scientist, Institute for the Study of Science and Environment, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado
Apr-Jun 2006 Visiting Scientist, ISSE, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, Colorado
Education and Qualifications:
Awards: Philip Leverhulme Prize (2011), £70,000; NERC Postdoctoral Fellowship (2006-2010)
Member: NERC Peer Review College (2010–); British Hydrological Society (BHS) Committee (2004–06) and BHS Honorary Secretary (2006–08); European and American Geophysical Unions (2006–)
Chair: IMAGe Theme of the Year 2012, NCAR - Uncertainty in Climate Change Research: An Integrated Approach (budget $125K); 31 participants in summer school/workshop – also lecturer; session chair at 2006 EGU General Assembly and 2007 AGU Fall Assembly.
Expert reviewer: NSF, CFCAS, NERC, EPSRC, Irish EPA, IPCC AR4 (WGI and WGII), > 30 journals ISI-cited. Guest edited 2 Special Issues of International Journal of Climatology and 1 Hydrology Research.
Knowledge transfer experience: Expert consultations on extreme rainfall and climate change impacts: Environment Agency; Royal Haskoning; NWL; Willis Re.
Reviewer and Editorships:
Member of NERC Peer Review College, 2010-2014
Reviewed proposals for:
National Science Foundation (Climate Dynamics Programme),
Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences (CFCAS),
Fellowship proposals for the Irish Environmental Protection Agency
Swiss Research Council
Expert reviewer for IPCC Working Group I 4th Assessment Report
Expert reviewer for IPCC Working Group II 4th Assessment Report
Review papers for:
Advances in Water Resources
Geophysical Research Letters
Hydrological Sciences Journal
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
International Journal of Climatology
Journal of Applied Meteorology
Journal of Climate
Journal of Environmental Informatics
Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres
Journal of Hydrology
Journal of Hydrometeorology
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Regional Environmental Change
Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica
Water Resources Research
Associate Editor - Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica
Editor of Special Issue of International Journal of Climatology on "Downscaling for Hydrological Impact Studies"
Editor of Special Issue of International Journal of Climatology on "Extremes"
Editor of Special Issue of Hydrology Research
Fiona Johnson, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of New South Wales, Australia; “Evaluating and enhancing General Circulation Model simulations for water resources climate change impact assessments”, 10th June 2010.
Nor Aizam Adnan, School of Geography, University of Southampton, “Quantifying the Impacts of Climate and Land Use Changes on the Hydrological Response of a Monsoon Catchment”, 7th March 2011.
Mark E Wilkinson, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, "A multiscale nested experiment for understanding and prediction of high rainfall and flood response spatial behaviour in the Eden catchment, Cumbria, UK", 21st November 2008.
Andrew J. Collier, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, “Extreme value analysis of non-stationary processes – A study of extreme rainfall under changing climate”, 9th March 2011.
2004-2009: Andrew Smith: A national scale rainfall analysis and event-based model of extremes for the UK.
2007-2011: Jamie Ledingham: The estimation of flood frequency curves by mapping from rainfall frequency curves.
2008-2012: Mari Jones: Characterising and modelling time-varying rainfall extremes and their climatic drivers.
2008-2013: Nathan Forsythe: Investigating the impact of climate change on hydro-climatological variability and water resources in the Upper Indus Basin.
Current (start date):
2007: Alex Leathard: A Water Grid for the UK
2007: Vesna Tripkovic: Quantifying and upscaling surface and subsurface runoff and nutrient flows under climate variability.
2009: Selma De Brito Guerreiro: Climate change and water resources in Iberia
2011: Elizabeth Lewis: Developing UK wide hydrological models for climate change impacts and analysis of floods and droughts
2011: Blanca Garcia Navarrete: Broad scale urban flood risk analysis for climate impacts and adaptation
8th February 2005
Articles in The Scotsman, The Herald and the Aberdeen Press and Journal
Article in the Times Online
Article in EU Politics Today: Research News
Live interview on BBC Radio Scotland on the ‘Good Morning Scotland’ programme 06:55
Interview with Radio Borders (pre-recorded)
Interview with the Newcastle Journal
9th February 2005
Article in the Aberdeen Evening Express
Appearance on Grampian TV evening news.
Interview with BBC Scotland (TV) and Forth1 FM
Article in Land Business, Magazine of the Scottish Rural Property and Business Association
Article in Sunday Sun
Massive coverage in all national papers of extreme rainfall work
Large coverage internationally of Karakoram research
Work covered in the Rough Guide to Climate Change
Extreme rainfall work presented as evidence in Parliamentary Debate on 16th November 2006
I have been engaged with the public on climate change through many lectures and fora (e.g., Café Scientifique, NE Climate Change Conference, British Science Festival, etc.). I am also frequently interviewed by media (including BBC, National Geographic Magazine, national newspapers and radio etc.).