This is a TV report from the American news channel, ABC. It talks about C.I.A. predictions for the population of the world by the year 2015. As you listen, add the missing words to the text below.
CIA Predicts The Future 2015 - Overpopulation - Click here for the funniest movie of the week TV Presenter: By 2015, there will be another
people crowded onto this planet; in places that can ill afford the additional population. The
? When we come back…
Over the next 15 years, the CIA
that the world will see a population
; concentrated in poor,
areas, and
migration of people from less developed regions to the West. ABC’s Richard Gisburgh has more…
RG (Reporter): It was a random act of
, but a
, nonetheless. On October 12th, 1999, the United Nations declared that this baby, born in Sarajevo, was the 6th billionth person on earth.
Now consider this: before that child turns
, there will be another billion humans on the planet. By 2015, we will be
people. But the more significant numbers are these:
% of the population growth; that’s
out of every 20 additional people, will be in the developing world; in the kinds of countries that often cannot
as it is. Another 300
in India alone; soon to become the
country to go over a billion. Just this week, India saw the largest human gathering in history:
million people sharing in a Hindu ritual.
The
population will accelerate the human
for economic reasons, from
areas to urban. There will be more mega-cities, like Cairo. In 1950, 2 million people lived here, by
, it will be 14 million.
Interviewee: Everything that’s required for
life, has to be doubled, tripled,
, in a very short period of time, and those are the settings in which you can get lots of political
.
RG (Reporter): Those are ripe conditions for more of the kinds of
the world has seen ever since the end of the cold war: one
group against another. In many countries in sub-
Africa, the Middle-East and Latin America, half the population is under
: too many people, who, come 2015, will be looking for too few jobs; that’s de-stabilizing too. So millions of people will try to come here: the
world, and they will find that in most places, they’re not welcome, which is ironic, because the developed world can use more young
. Birth rates have
, the elderly are living longer, and with too few people paying into pension and health-care systems, and too many drawing from them, something will have to give. If you think the world is a crowded, complicated and hazardous place now, just wait until this child turns 15. For Nightline, I’m Richard Gisburgh in London.
Discussion Person 1: Of the population increase in the world, literally
or
% of it is likely to be in India. India in general is going to be looming larger on our screens over the next 15 years. Here’s a country that both has, the largest middle-class population in the world, er…by Indian standards, there are more middle-class Indians than there are middle-class Americans. But there are also more
people in India than there are in all of sub-Saharan Africa. So you have cities like Delhi, er…Mumbai, which used to be called Bombay, Calcutta, and several others, will be among the largest cities in the world…
TV presenter: …Bombay, for example…
Discussion Person 1: 3 million in
, under 3 million;
million in 2015.
TV presenter: …one city?
Discussion Person 1: One city.
TV presenter: Tick off a few of the others while you’ve got the map open in front of you…
Discussion Person 1: …Calcutta is there, Kirachi, Pakistan, was only
people in 1950, it will be
million people.
TV presenter: …Alright, why do I care? Why does it matter to me?
Discussion Person 2: Some of the issues begin to
, er, population has a very significant
on the national resource question, for example. So we take the Middle-East and look at the
problem. Increased
puts further stress on the limited natural resources, and then you get into…start getting into the intersection with
, also, and then…er, the issues of, er, of, er…of
, and terrorism and it all begins to connect.
Discussion Person 3: India, China, on the rise,
on the decline; they all have highly unequal distribution of political and economic power within their
. And if any one of them, or more than one of them were to break apart or to have high levels of instability, it’s very hard to
in those circumstances, what the, erm, follow-on effects would be.
Discussion Person 1: Where you don’t have
government, where you don’t have the rule of
, where you don’t have the ability to make the investments in
, in public transportation, in schools, in healthcare… transportation, in schools, in healthcare…