Income
elasticities for environmental goods
Conventionally estimated income elasticities for environmental goods
often appear to be less than 1.0. This seems counter intuitive,
and at odds with causal observation and introspection. It
seemsmore likely that income elasticity of demand for environmental
preservation such as agricultural landscapes, wildlife amenity
benefits, and the separation of towns by green belts, etc. might be
greater than one - the richer we are the more important these things
become.
The argument can be developed (without loss of generality) using a
simple linear demand for an environmental good expressed as:
Q = a + bP + cY
where Q = quantity demanded; P = price; and Y = income.
The respective price and income
elasticities (e andh respectively) for this linear demand
function are
e = b*(P/Q) and
h = c*(Y/Q)
The value of an environmental good is typically estimated through CVM
in terms of the willingness-to-pay (WTP) for the good, so the
relationship of interest is the price dependent demand function:
P = [Q - a - cY] / b
From this price dependent equation, the "income flexibility",
as a proportionate change in the price (willingness to pay ) per
proportionate change in income is defined as:
∂P/∂Y * (Y/P) = (-c/b)*Y/P
This is the measure that is intuitively grasped when considering the
effect of income on the demand for an environmental good. It is
this measure that should be considered in the case of a public good,
since for any individual the quantity of a public good is not a control
variable: it is fixed by public or collective action.
Furthermore, in the case of many environmental goods, the total supply
is frequently strictly limited.
In this linear case (and more generally), therefore, the relationship
between income flexibility for an environmental good and the
conventional income elasticity is as follows:
∂P/∂Y * (Y/P) = (-c/b)*Y/P = [c*(Y/Q)] /
[-b*(P/Q)] = h / -e
Thus, although the income elasticities for public goods are often
measured as less than 1.0, so long as the corresponding price
elasticity is less in absolute terms than this income elasticity, the
income flexibility (as the increase in the willingness to pay per
proportionate increase for the public good is greater than 1.0.
It seems intuitive that the price elasticity of demand for
environmental public goods may typically be quite inelastic and that
this condition is quite likely to be met in many cases.
Price elasticities for activities are generally low when the good is
considered a necessity, when substitutes are not available to satisfy
perceived need, when the proportion of income spent on the good is low,
or when the good is purchased frequently. A relatively constant
quantity of necessities such as access to recreational resources for
walking, viewing nature, etc. will be purchased almost irrespective of
price, within the price ranges normally encountered. For these
general experiences there are no close substitutes, implying very
inelastic price responses. However, for specific recreation and
amenity sites, as with particular entertainment and outdoor sports
events, the more substitutes that are available, and the greater the
competition, the more the demand for these activities is dependent upon
price. Furthermore, the demand for high priced goods and
services, which account for a large proportion of purchasers' incomes,
are also relatively sensitive to price. The price elasticity of
demand for boats is typically much higher than those for camping,
walking, and viewing nature. The small percentage of income spent
on the latter goods and services means that it is simply not worthwhile
spending time and energy worrying about their prices.
The low price elasticity for generic recreational activities such as
walking and nature observation, and amenity demands such as landscape
preservation, etc., arise because:
- most are unique: having few substitutes, their demand is
relatively inelastic;
- they are general activities: the price elasticity for specific
recreational activities and sites is higher. Thus the price
elasticity for trout fishing has been estimated in some conditions to
be -0.4, compared with fishing in general which has a price elasticity
of -0.2;
- of the quality of the resource. Price elasticities are
lower where the quality of the resource, or recreational experience, is
higher;
- they have a low impact on the consumers' budget. Thus,
price elasticity is lower for viewing nature on a day outing than on
vacation trips.
The estimated income elasticities of demand for most recreational goods
and services is positive. Luxury recreational goods have higher
income elasticities [indeed this is how they are categorised!].
Income levels have historically doubled every 20 to 30 years in western
economies. Hence, the demand for recreation and amenity goods
will increase, not only for urban recreational goods such as theatre
trips, restaurant meals, etc., but also for countryside recreational
goods such walks, nature observation, and landscape preservation.
As the recreational good becomes more specific and the number of
substitutes increases, income elasticity declines. Thus,
estimates of the income elasticity for particular recreational
activities and sites is likely to be inelastic, i.e. less than 1.0
However, simple price elasticities tend to be lower than simple income
elasticities for environmental goods. Thus the income flexibility
for public goods in the environment is likely to be greater than
1.0. The demand for such goods is likely to increase
substantially over the next 25 years, necessitating environmental
control, regulation, and planning, to ensure their long term supply
where they are a joint product with agricultural production, and to
guard against their short term consumption to the detriment of future
demands.
The only caveat to this argument is that long-run elasticities may
differ from short run elasticities. Short run demand for recreation and
environmental goods is relatively inelastic. However, over the
long run, consumers will adjust their purchases of the environmental or
recreational good whose price has risen. Whilst empirical studies
reveal price elasticity of demand for recreational experiences to be
inelastic (<1.0) in the short run, it is expected to be elastic
(>1.0) in the long run, especially for specific recreational sites
and activities with substitutes. Thus, whilst a 10% increase in
the price of consuming a particular type of countryside recreation
would result in a 2% decrease in demand in the first year when price is
inelastic (-0.2); in the long run a 10% increase in price could reduce
recreational demand.
For instance, suppose that the price elasticity of demand for walking
is -0.20 (day outing). A study by Willis and Garrod (1997)
estimated, from a random samples of 932 visitors, that people would be
WTP £0.23 to avoid a 1% increase in the number of pipe bridges,
pylons, and cable crossings, encountered in walking along canals in the
countryside. Assuming that the direct cost per individual of
visiting a canal for a walk is £1.50, then the visual effect of
utility service crossing over canals is equivalent to a 15.3p ( =
£0.23/£1.50) increase in the 'price' of the walk.
The visual effect of an increase in utility services crossing across
canals continued for a decade: recreational walks along canal towpaths
would be expected to decrease by 3.1% ( = 15.3 * 0.20) in the first
year; by 6.9% in the second year; and so on until it reached a level of
about 19.4% of the original level. Thus, the long term visual
impact of utility service networks is to substantially reduce
recreational walks in the countryside, assuming other factors such as
population do not change. Of course, this estimate should be
treated as a first approximation, to be verified by future studies of
the long-run demand for specific recreation activities and
environmental resource attributes.
Willis, K.G. and G.D. Garrod (1997). Disamenity Externalities
from Utility Networks. Utilities
Policy 7
back to main notes.